According to an Ifop/LCI poll unveiled this Monday, the National Rally is in the lead with 33% of the votes.
It is followed by the New Popular Front (28%), the presidential camp comes in 3rd position (18%) in voting intentions in the 1st round.
Participation stands at 62%.
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2024 legislative elections
A duel between the New Popular Front and the National Rally. This is what is emerging according to our Ifop/LCI survey of June 17: two weeks before the legislative elections, a candidate from the National Rally obtains 33% of the voting intentions in the 1st round, when a candidate from the New Popular Front collects 28 %.
The Renaissance list – including MoDem, Horizons and UDI – would obtain 18% of the votes. What about the Republicans? The party, in crisis since the hand extended by Eric Ciotti to the RN, obtained 5% of the votes. Note that, in the hypothesis of a candidate who would be supported by the RN, this figure drops to 4%. Reconquest! is at 3%.
56% of young people plan to vote
Another lesson: the participation index. This amounts, according to our survey, to 62%. One point less than in the previous Ifop study, dated June 13-14. But this figure is significantly higher than in the 2022 election: 47.51%.
Highly scrutinized, the participation of young people is slightly below the national average. 56% of 18-24 year olds plan to vote, 58% of 25-34 year olds.
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Legislative elections: how to check that you are registered on the lists and where to vote?
The survey was carried out among a sample of 1,131 people registered on the electoral lists, taken from a sample of 1,200 people, representative of the French population aged 18 and over.
The representativeness of the sample was ensured by the quota method (sex, age, profession of the person interviewed) after stratification by region and category of agglomeration.
The interviews were carried out by self-administered online questionnaire from June 14 to 17, 2024.
