COTidienne | Cereals – The rebound of the euro weighs on European prices of wheat and corn

COTidienne | Cereals – The rebound of the euro weighs on European prices of wheat and corn
COTidienne | Cereals – The rebound of the euro weighs on European prices of wheat and corn

THE prix wheat have lost ground on Euronext between January 3 and 6, which had an impact on the walk French physics of soft wheat andbarley fodder. Corn prices closed the session stable to slightly down. On these two products, the rise in the single European currency has penalized export competitiveness.

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Conversely, the decline of the dollar against other currencies boosted the prices of American cereals. THE wheat closed higher on the CBOT in Chicago, as well as Kansas City and Minneapolis. In winter wheat, concerns about winter temperatures in the state of Kansas, which concentrates a large part of the productionwere also playing on the rise. Temperatures remain very low, down to -20°C in certain areas of the UNITED STATES. In addition, precipitation remains scant and soils dry, the USDA reported in its weather bulletin. Figures ofexports weekly returns higher than expected in wheat also supported prices. In India, the country could resort to imports again. Wheat availability for millers are in fact increasingly rare, and the costs high, so that the mills are no longer working at full capacity, reports Reuters. However, the government had lowered the stocks authorized for millers in order to improve the circulation of goods in December. This also provided support for US wheat prices.

The prices of but were showing an increase on the CBOT in Chicago, supported like wheat by the fall in dollar. The taxation measures provided for by Donald Trump could ultimately concern fewer products and destinations than expected, which weighed on the greenback. Weekly corn exports were within expectations; with the cumulative total for the campaign reaching 24.5% more than the previous campaign, according to the USDA. Finally, the dry conditions in Argentine continue to push corn prices upwards.
In Ukrainedemand for corn was present but limited in recent weeks, which kept prices stable, according to Ukragroconsult.

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Commerce international :

  • United States, wheat, exports : 412,342 t for the week ending January 2 (source: USDA)
  • United States, corn, exports : 847,463 t the week ending January 2, i.e. -6.6% from one week to the next and -22.4% compared to the same period in 2023-2024; for a total of 16,236 Mt over the current campaign (source: USDA)

French physical markets from January 6, 2025 (July base for cereals)

Soft wheat Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
rendering 220/11 miller Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 228,50 N -2,00
Rendering La Pallice 76/220/11 Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 226,00 N -2,00
Rendering 76/220/11 Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 228,00 N -2,00
Pontivy/Guingamp rendering forage 74 kg/hl base, 72 kg/hl mini Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 224,00 N -2,00
Fob miller Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 235,00 N 2,00
Fob Rouen FCW Superior A2 class 1 major. included Harvest 2024 Jan. n.p.
FCW Medium A3 class 2 majo. included Harvest 2024 Jan. inc.
Fob La Pallice FAW Superior A2 class 1 major. included Harvest 2024 Jan. n.p.
Departure from BPMF 220 Hagberg Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 229,00 N -2,00
Departure from Eure/Eure-et-Loir BPMF 76 kg/hl Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 222,00 N -2,00
Departure South-East miller Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 238,00 N 0,00
Durum wheat Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Rendering Port-la-Nouvelle semolina standards Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 295,00 N 0,00
Departure from Eure/Eure-et-Loir semolina standards Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 287,50 N 0,00
Departure South-East semolina standards Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 285,00 N 0,00
But Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
rendering Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 202,50 N 0,00
Rendering La Pallice Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 210,00 N 0,00
Pontivy/Guingamp rendering Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 208,50 N 0,00
Fob Bordeaux Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 206,50 N 0,00
Fob Rhin Harvest 2024 Jan-Jun 218,00 N -3,00
Departure South-East Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 217,50 N 0,00
Feed barley Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Rendering Rouen 62-63 kg/hl Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 203,00 N -2,00
Pontivy/Guingamp rendering Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 206,00 N -2,00
Fob Moselle without limit. orgettes Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 188,00 N -2,00
Departure from Eure/Eure-et-Loir Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 192,00 N -2,00
Departure South-East 62/63 kg/hl Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 215,00 N 0,00
Malting barley – Winter 6 rows Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Fob Faro 11.5% max Port 500 t Harvest 2024 Jan-June 223,00 N 0,00
Malting barley – Spring Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Fob Creil Planet 11.5% max Port 500 t Harvest 2024 Jan-June 242,00 N 0,00
Sunflower Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Bordeaux rendering oleic Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 630,00 N 0,00
Rendered Saint-Nazaire oleic Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 630,00 N 0,00
Rapeseed Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Rendering Rouen Harvest 2024 Apr-June 510,50 N 1,50
Fob Moselle Harvest 2024 Apr-June 512,50 N 1,50
Soybean meals Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Departure Montoir 48% pellets Brazil Jan. 381,00 V -7,00
48% pellets Brazil February 3 381,00 V -7,00
Then Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Departure from Marne forage Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 295,00 N 0,00
Departure from /Oise forage Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 295,00 N 0,00

Quotations of milling products from December 31, 2024

Its fine soft wheat Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Departure from Ile-de- available. 144,00-146,00 T
pellets available. 154,00-156,00 T
Half-white remolding Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Departure from Ile-de-France available. 164,00-166,00 T
Low flour Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Departure from Ile-de-France available. 169,00-171,00 T

Commercial quotations for dairy products from January 2, 2025

Milk powder Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
NBPL departure at 30 days 5% H BT bulk available. 2490,00 N
Whey powder Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
NBPL departure at 30 days, BILA pH 6 bulk available. 865,00 N

Dollar/euro evolution of January 6, 2025

Devise Closing value
1 dollar US 0,9591 euro
1 euro 1,0426 dollar

Chicago Futures Market Close January 6, 2025

Raw materials Fence Chicago
Wheat 540,50 cents/wood.
But 457,75 cents/wood.
Ethanol 2,161 $/gallon
Military 992,50 cents/wood.
Soybean meals 298,60 $/t
Soybean oil 39,76 cts/livre

Closing of the Euronext futures market on January 6, 2025

Milling wheat (Euronext)
Echéance Fence
Mars 2025 231,25
May 2025 235,75
Sept. 2025 226,75
Volume 50277
Corn (Euronext)
Echéance Fence
Mars 2025 209,75
June 2025 217,00
August 2025 221,75
Volume 2656
Colza (Euronext)
Echéance Fence
Feb. 2025 513,75
May 2025 511,50
August 2025 473,50
Volume 19681
Rapeseed oil (Euronext)
Echéance Fence
Mars 2023 698,50
June 2023 698,50
Sept. 2023 698,50
Volume 0
Rapeseed meal (Euronext)
Echéance Fence
Mars 2023 196,25
June 2023 196,25
Sept. 2023 196,25
Volume 0
European Union Wheat (CME)
Echéance Fence
Sept. 2018 159,25
Dec. 2018 163,25
Mars 2019 164,75
Volume 0

International market quotes from January 6, 2025

Energy Echéance Closing value
Oil (Nymex) Feb. 2025 73,56 $
Ocean freight indices from January 6 Variation
Baltic Dry Index (BDI) 1043 -29,00
Baltic Panamax Index (BPI) 1061 21,00
Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) 1290 -85,00
Baltic Supramax Index (BSI) 867 -17,00
Baltic Handysize Index (BHSI) 539 -10,00
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