1X2 prediction: which team to bet on?
Aston Villa win the match
1. Aston Villa are performing better at home, having won 60% of their last home matches. Additionally, they also have 57% higher offensive potential with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
2. Leicester City have shown a deficit in away matches, going winless in their last 5 matches. Their away offensive potential is also low with a rate of 21% and an average of 0.6 goals per game.
3. The statistical odds for this match also support a favorable prediction for Aston Villa. Aston Villa’s victory has a probability of success of 83.16% compared to a probability of success of 4.21% for Leicester City.
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Over/Under 2.5: that even?
More than 2.5 goals in the match
1. Aston Villa have strong attacking potential at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game. In addition, Aston Villa’s defensive potential is also quite strong, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. This means that it is likely that there will be at least 3 goals (1.6 + 2) in the match.
2. Leicester City has poor defensive potential on the road, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game, which increases the probability of scoring more than 3 goals during the match.
3. Recent match statistics indicate a 65.79% probability for over 2.5 goals in the match, and the odds of 1.50 suggest that bookmakers are also in favor of this prediction.
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BTTS: Will both teams score?
Both teams score: Yes
1. Aston Villa displays strong attacking potential at home with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game, which indicates that they have a good chance of scoring in the next match against Leicester City.
2. Leicester City, despite a poor overall performance, managed to score at least 1 goal in their away matches. This shows that they have the ability to find the net, even when they are considered underdogs.
3. Statistics show a general trend of high scores in Aston Villa and Leicester City matches. For example, in most of Aston Villa’s recent home matches and Leicester City’s away matches, over 2.5 goals have been scored, suggesting that both teams have a good chance of scoring in their next meeting.
Which bet offers an attractive value bet?
Draw – 5.50
1. Leicester are in poor form on their travels, having not won a match in 5 attempts and having a high goals conceded average (2.8 goals on average).
2. Although Aston Villa have a high probability of winning, the team also has a fairly high goals conceded average when playing at home (2.0 goals on average), which could lead to a close match and potentially a draw.
3. The probability of winning the draw is relatively low at 12.63%, but it is rewarded with high odds of 5.50. Given both teams’ recent performances, this option has potential value.
Bet on the right score
Aston Villa 2-0 Leicester City
1. Aston Villa have a strong home performance: In their last 5 home matches, Aston Villa have won 60% of the time, scored 8 goals and have an attacking potential of 57%. For comparison, Leicester City has had a poor away performance with no wins in its last 5 games, only 3 goals scored and an offensive potential of 21%.
2. Defensive stats favor Aston Villa: Leicester City have conceded almost double the away goals compared to Aston Villa at home. Aston Villa have a defensive potential of 71% while Leicester City have a defensive potential of 100%.
3. Betting Odds Predictions: Betting odds indicate a winning probability of 83.16% for Aston Villa, compared to just 4.21% for Leicester City. Additionally, the “Under 3.5 goals in the match” bet has a winning probability of 62.11%, which is in line with the correct prediction of the score of 2-0.
Analysis and highlights of the match
The shape of the teams
Aston Villa are in good form at home. In the last 5 games, they have won 3 times and scored an average of 1.6 goals per game. However, their defense leaves something to be desired with an average of 2 goals conceded.
Leicester City, for its part, is struggling to move. They haven’t won a match in their last 5 outings, scoring just 0.6 goals on average and conceding 2.8 goals per game.
The statistics suggest an Aston Villa victory with a probability of 83.16%. Leicester are unlikely to wake up for this match, with their probability of winning being just 4.21%.
In terms of goals, the match will probably be rich with an 84.74% chance of scoring more than 1.5 goals. The odds also indicate that there is a 65.79% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals in the match.
The recent history of the two teams supports these analyses. Aston Villa matches are often spectacular with plenty of goals from both sides. As for Leicester, they suffered heavy away defeats.
Ultimately, with Aston Villa in good form and Leicester struggling, the data points to an Aston Villa win with probably over 2.5 goals in the match.
The number of potential goals
Aston Villa are showing solid home form, winning 60% of the time in the last 5 matches. They have equal offensive and defensive efficiency, scoring and conceding 8 goals. Additionally, their offensive potential is high at 57%, while their reliable defense is rated at 71%.
On the other hand, Leicester City are struggling away from home, failing to win any of the last 5 games and only drawing 20% of the time. With only 3 goals scored and 4 conceded, their low offensive potential of 21% and a 100% porous defense.
The prediction greatly favors Aston Villa with a winning probability of 83.16%. Betting on a draw is less certain at 12.63%, while Leicester City’s odds of winning are just 4.21%.
Betting on at least 1.5 goals in the match is promising with a probability of success of 84.74%. Likewise, betting on more than 2.5 goals has a probability of success of 65.79%.
When it comes to both teams scoring goals, it’s a double-edged bet with a 50% probability of success, which also argues for the opposite.
Based on this data, Aston Villa seems to have the advantage in this match against Leicester City.
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Our conclusions and predictions for this match
To conclude, looking at the past performances of Aston Villa and Leicester City, the statistics strongly suggest that the match will go to Aston Villa’s advantage. With a home win likely, Arsenal appear to have a firm grip on the match, thanks to their strong attacking performances and relatively strong defense, complementing Leicester’s poor form on their travels. The possibility of betting on a total score above 2.5 goals also seems interesting given the tendency of both teams to participate in matches with a high total number of goals. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring during the match is high. Finally, despite an unfavorable prediction, betting on a draw offers an attractive value bet with high odds of 5.50, which could be interesting for bettors looking to maximize their return on investment.
