Dream night or nightmarish evening in Mestalla? For many years, trips to Valencia have been synonymous with difficulties for Real Madrid. Indeed, according to Markwith only two victories in ten years in the Valencian stadium, Mestalla has become the least favorable ground for Real Madrid over this period. In comparison, the Merengues are doing much better against their Catalan and Madrid rivals: four successes at the Camp Nou and three at the Metropolitano.
Madrid's last victory in Valencia dates back more than three years. That day, under Ancelotti's leadership, the team snatched a 1-2 victory thanks to late goals from Vinícius Jr. and Karim Benzema. A memorable comeback which, however, does not erase the numerous disappointments, such as the 4-1 defeat inflicted by Valencia in 2021, nor the repeated setbacks with a score of 2-1 during the 2018/19, 2016/17 and 2014/15 seasons. .
Real's last trip to Mestalla also remains etched in memories. During this match, Valencia took a 2-0 advantage in the first half thanks to Hugo Duro and Yaremchuck. Before the break, Vinícius had reduced the gap, then equalized with a quarter of an hour to go. The controversy arose in added time. While Brahim Díaz crossed a ball for Jude Bellingham, ready to score, referee Gil Manzano whistled the end of the match, preventing the goal from being validated. A decision which triggered a strong protest from Madrilenians, resulting in the expulsion of Bellingham and a two-match suspension.
Despite these historic difficulties at Mestalla, Ancelotti's men start as favorites for this meeting. As pointed out Markthe bookmakers estimate their chances of victory at almost 73.5%, due to the current dynamics of the team and the difficulties encountered by Valencia CF, currently in the relegation zone and recently overhauled with a new coach.
This trip to Mestalla, in such a tense context, could well be an indicator of what the year 2025 has in store for Real Madrid.