Bardella Prime Minister would not do better than Attal, for 7 out of 10 French people – EXCLUSIVE SURVEY

POLITICS – Change in Matignon? While the National Rally already imagines itself in power since the surprise dissolution of the Assembly by Emmanuel Macron, Jordan Bardella clearly still has work to do to convince of his ability to become Prime Minister.

His ability, more precisely, to do better than the current tenant of Matignon, Gabriel Attal. According to a poll conducted by YouGov just after the result of the European elections and that HuffPost revealed this Sunday, June 16, only 29% of French people believe that the president of the far-right party would be a better head of government.

On the contrary, for 41% of them, the 28-year-old MEP, although widely acclaimed by voters on the evening of June 9, would do worse than the 35-year-old Macronist, in office since last January. In the middle, 30% believe that the head of the RN would have the same results.

Unsurprisingly, distrust of the leader of the Lepenist party, derided during the European campaign for his lack of work in Brussels and Strasbourg, is even stronger among left-wing voters and the presidential camp. 67% of French people close to the new Popular Front (PCF-LFI-PS-EELV) believe that he would do worse than Gabriel Attal, compared to 70% of Macronist voters.

Favorite National Rally?

Since Sunday, the country has been shaken by a double shock: the historic score of the National Rally in the European elections and the dissolution of the National Assembly, which poses a major risk to the accession of the far right to power. For Édouard Philippe, the president of Horizons and a figure in the presidential camp, the camp of Jordan Bardella and Marine Le Pen is even “favorite” of the ballot.

In this context, the political scene has experienced an accelerated recomposition which could rebuild the cards somewhat. United behind the banner of the new Popular Front – but without a natural representative to apply for Matignon – the left will present only one candidate per constituency. The camp of the President of the Republic, led by Gabriel Attal, will try to thwart a defeat that pollsters are currently promising will be bitter.

According to the latest Elabe survey for BFMTV and La Tribune Sunday, the RN could obtain 31% of the votes in the first round, on June 30, ahead of the left alliance at 28%, the majority at 18% and LR at 6.5%. The institute estimates that the Lepenist party is capable, for the moment, of obtaining a relative majority in seats.

It is clear that the National Rally, further strengthened by the alliance with Éric Ciotti, is leading a relatively chaotic start to the campaign. After procrastinating on the repeal of the retirement reform, although promised on several occasions, Jordan Bardella suggested that it would not be right away. The vice-president of the party Sébastien Chenu, for his part, staunchly defended a measure against dual nationals, a measure that Marine Le Pen abandoned several years ago. Enough to somewhat crack their new veneer of trivialization?

This survey was carried out on 1,012 people representative of the French national population aged 18 and over. The survey was carried out online, on the YouGov France proprietary panel, from June 10 to 13, 2024.

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