the essential
As the US presidential election approaches, opinion polls show Kamala Harris and Donald Trump neck and neck. Enough to fuel the frantic race for the “swing states“, these “key” states which will decide the outcome of the election.
Will the American election be decided in a pocket handkerchief? Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, who are going blow for blow in a fierce campaign marked by invective, are neck and neck in the opinion polls.
Also read:
Donald Trump returns to Butler, where he was almost assassinated, and calls the shooter a ‘vicious monster’
According to the most recent survey carried out by the YouGov institute for The Economist between September 29 and October 1 – before, as BFMTV notes, the debate between JD Vance and Tim Walz – Kamala Harris is credited with 48% of voting intentions against 45% for Donald Trump.
This projection is in line with the polls carried out throughout the campaign, which always placed the Democratic candidate ahead of her Republican opponent. As the site points out Fivethirtyeightwhich aggregated all of these polls, Kamala Harris is, on average, given the lead with 48.4% of voting intentions. Donald Trump would collect 45.8% of the vote.
The unknown of key States
However, these polls do not confirm the results of the election. Because, as a reminder, the method of voting by indirect universal suffrage means that in the United States, the presidential election is not decided by the votes cast throughout the country but by those of electors whose number varies depending on the States.
Also read:
“Kamala Harris is mentally handicapped, she was born that way!” : why Donald Trump’s insult goes down badly in his own ranks
Thus from Michigan to Arizona via Nevada, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina, the key states where Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are concentrating their campaigns, victory should be decided by a few tens of thousands voice close.
According to the specialized site RealClearPoliticsthe Republican candidate would currently benefit from a slight lead in Arizona (+1.4 points) and Georgia (+1.5 points). His Democratic opponent would trail him by a short head in Nevada (+1.1 points). Less than a point separates the two candidates in the rest of the other key states.
