Nervousness within the central bloc troops before Bayrou's speech

Prime Minister François Bayrou at the National Assembly, December 17, 2024. SARAH MEYSSONNIER / REUTERS

Neither for nor against, quite the contrary. A few hours before the general policy declaration of Prime Minister François Bayrou, scheduled for Tuesday January 14, the troops of the former presidential majority (MoDem, Renaissance and Horizons) have become masters in the art of avoidance. Everyone knows that the tenant of Matignon, their ally of the MoDem, could take, from the platform of the National Assembly, a significant step to seduce the socialists in order to avoid censorship. They are watching with concern for the message which would suggest that the centrist could increase taxes on the richest or suspend, for a while, pension reform. Returning to this totem torn away in 2023 at the cost of a social outcry seemed unimaginable just a few months ago. But the censorship of Michel Barnier's government in December 2024 and the unrest it caused have, as if by magic, made everyone's red lines disappear. Those of Gabriel Attal, in particular.

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The leader of the Macronist deputies, so vocal in September 2024 to defend the “DNA” of the Macronist camp and attack the planned tax increases, remains silent. “We don’t want to add disorder to the hubbub”explains an advisor to Gabriel Attal. The thirty-year-old no longer wants to appear like a troublemaker. Here it is. Or almost. To his family, the secretary general of Renaissance displays his disapproval of a possible suspension of the reform, but he says he is reassuring. During the meeting of the office of the group of deputies Together for the Republic (EPR), Monday, Gabriel Attal recalled the words that the Prime Minister had spoken to him the previous Thursday, assuring him that the suspension of the reform would not would only intervene after negotiations, once an alternative solution had been found.

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