One is more realistic than the other: what scenarios are still available for the Red Devils in the Nations League?
The Red Devils will play their last two group matches in the Nations League this week. Belgium seems to be heading for 3rd place and the relegation play-offs, but things could also turn out differently: three possible scenarios.
The realistic scenario
With 5 points behind France and 6 points behind Italy respectively and with 2 games to play, 3rd place seems to be the most realistic scenario for the Red Devils at the moment.
Only the top 2 advance to the quarter-finals, the number 3 goes to the relegation play-offs. The four numbers 3 from Division A compete against the four numbers 2 from Division B.
Those matches will be played in March, with a first and second leg. The countries from the A division are the seed and will play the second leg in front of their own people.
If a country from the A division wins, it ensures retention. If the country wins from the B division, that country is promoted to the A group and the opponent drops to the B division.
Division A group 2 ranking
The tricky scenario
Yes, mathematically it is still possible: the Red Devils can still reach the top 2 in their group and thus qualify for the Nations League quarter-finals.
To achieve this, Belgium will have to achieve a 6 out of 6 against Italy and Israel and it is hoped that Italy or France will achieve 0 out of 6.
The Red Devils can take the first step towards this tonight by beating Italy. If that happens and if the Squadra Azzurra also loses to France on Sunday, the Italians and the Belgians will both count 10 points, but the Red Devils will have the advantage due to the mutual confrontation.
Skipping France seems an unrealistic scenario for the Devils. When the French get 1 in 6, they are elusive. By the way, France and Italy can also reach an agreement: in the event of a draw on Sunday in Italy, both countries will be through anyway. A salon depot in Milan?
UEFA Nations League
matchday 5
The worst case scenario
In the worst case scenario, Belgium could still finish last in its group, although that also seems a fairly unlikely scenario. The Israelis have not yet been able to gain a single point, but a gap of 4 points is still playable on paper.
There is no way out for the last one in the group: then inevitably follows relegation to the B division.