the essential
Americans are called to the polls this Tuesday, November 5 to choose their president. Never has a choice been so decisive as the two candidates are polar opposites. Neck and neck, who will take up residence in the White House, Donald Trump, the populist Republican ex-president eager to avenge his 2020 defeat, or Kamala Harris, the outgoing Democratic vice-president?
Who will be elected President of the United States of America tomorrow night? Who will win perhaps the most contested election in American history between Republican Donald Trump, who wants to return to the White House to take revenge for his 2020 defeat, and Democrat Kamala Harris, vice-president for four years, who took up the torch of his camp after the withdrawal of Joe Biden and gave it new colors in record time?
DDM – Philippe Rioux
For the moment no one knows and pollsters and analysts – scalded by the 2016 presidential election won by Donald Trump against Hillary Clinton to everyone's surprise, including that of the person concerned – are this time very cautious. According to the Political Forecasting Group, Trump is considered more credible than Harris on economics, foreign policy and the fight against crime. 8 out of 13 analysis models estimate that Harris will win the popular vote and 6 out of 11 the electorate. “Too close to call”, too close to advance a winner.
The vote will be played in 7swing states
It is true that the American system of indirect election with a college of electors per state makes any prediction between national and state polls difficult. Thus, a candidate can receive a majority of the popular vote but not win the 270 electors to be elected.
DDM – Philippe Rioux
DDM – Philippe Rioux
Also read:
US presidential election 2024: what is a “swing state” and which states are they?
As with every presidential election, the vote will be played out in the swing states, these key states which can switch to one camp or the other. There are seven this year – Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada and Arizona – which saw the two candidates with radically different programs.
The world according to Trump and the world according to Harris are polar opposites and the extreme polarization of public debate, exacerbated by fake news and the videos deep fakeinsults and physical violence – up to two attempted attacks against Trump – do not suggest a time of reconciliation behind the Commander in chief who will be elected as was the case before.
Recount like in 2000?
The election could well be decided by a few thousand votes out of several million in a few counties… Both camps have already mobilized armies of lawyers to contest the result of these close ballots and demand recounts… like this He went to Florida in 2000 to decide between George W. Bush and Al Gore.
Also read:
American presidential election: accusations of fraud, complaints, violence… towards a remake of 2020 in the event of Donald Trump's defeat?
The latter ended up conceding defeat more than a month after the election, after the recount of the votes was interrupted by the Supreme Court of the United States. Being ultraconservative today, could it give an advantage to Trump who appointed three judges there? And if Trump were defeated, will the eruptive ex-President concede defeat and what will his supporters who attempted a coup on January 6, 2021, do?
Tomorrow evening, America will experience a tipping point and the world will hold its breath…
