Pensions, taxes… The consequences of a budget modeled on that of 2024

The scenario of a France without a budget in 1^is January 2025 seems almost inevitable. This Monday, the Prime Minister committed the government to responsibility for the Social Security budget, by activating article 49.3 of the Constitution. In the process, Marine Le Pen assured that the National Rally would vote on all the motions, « where (they) come from »including from the left. Thus, unless the situation turns around, the Barnier government should fall and, consequently, the Social Security budget – on which it triggered its 49.3 – be rejected. Likewise, the state budget would be put on hold.

In this case, it would be the 2024 budget – or almost – which could apply while waiting for the finance bills (PLF) and social security financing bills (PLFSS) to emerge from the parliamentary and political rut in which they are silted up. Indeed, in the event of the fall of the current government…