Result of the 2024 legislative elections in La Roche-sur-Yon (85000) – 1st round [PUBLIE]

Result of the 2024 legislative elections in La Roche-sur-Yon (85000) – 1st round [PUBLIE]
Result of the 2024 legislative elections in La Roche-sur-Yon (85000) – 1st round [PUBLIE]

19:53 – Left coalition votes coveted

The tendency to the left is also to be gauged during these legislative elections, since we do not know the decision of those who voted for the New Popular and Social Union (Nupes), which had made a breakthrough in the last legislative elections, but which no longer exists. in the political landscape. The New Popular Front, which is looking for a leader, should bring together part of it. Glucksmann’s PS-Place publique list finished at 21.85% in La Roche-sur-Yon on June 9. But the left aims much better in the legislative elections, since the revamped union virtually amounts to 38% this time, combining the scores of Manon Aubry (LFI), Marie Toussaint (EELV) and Léon Deffontaine (PCF). The windfall seems significant. During the first round of the legislative elections in 2022, in La Roche-sur-Yon, Nupes had also accumulated 34.77% of the votes on average in the 2 constituencies located in the city. A score to finally be compared with the 34% of left-wing voters in the first round of the presidential election (23.85% for Jean-Luc Mélenchon, 7.52% for Yannick Jadot, 2.38% for Fabien Roussel and 2.84% for Anne Hidalgo).

18:42 – The National Rally in La Roche-sur-Yon, a favorite in the legislative elections?

Despite rapid and sometimes radical changes, some conclusions are still necessary. The RN’s progress already seems strong in La Roche-sur-Yon between Jordan Bardella’s score in 2019 (13.57%) and the one it obtained on June 9 in the European elections (19.65%), of the order of 6 points. But the rise is shaping up to be even more significant in the 2024 legislative elections, with opinion polls giving the RN a result of 30 to 35% across the country, a far cry from the 18.68% at the time. The RN could thus be at nearly 20% locally on June 30, if the dynamics were the same as in the European elections, or even more depending on the polling dynamics.

15:31 – La Roche-sur-Yon not really in phase with France during the elections of June 9

Looking back a little less far also seems obvious when analyzing the vote of this Sunday, June 30. With a result of 19.65% in fact, Jordan Bardella was overtaken during the European elections of June in La Roche-sur-Yon by Raphaël Glucksmann with 21.85%.

14:32 – 34.15% for Emmanuel Macron in the 2022 presidential election in La Roche-sur-Yon

It is certainly the election of the head of state which is the best indicator of the inclination of the inhabitants of a municipality. Point to remember: the RN had collected a better score in the 2022 legislative elections in La Roche-sur-Yon in the first round than Marine Le Pen herself during the presidential election, since she had garnered 14.08% in the 1st round there . In order, we nevertheless found Emmanuel Macron in the lead with 34.15%, followed by Jean-Luc Mélenchon with 23.85% and Marine Le Pen with 14.08%. The RN candidate finally failed behind Emmanuel Macron in the second round (with 26.92% against 73.08%).

12:32 – What can the scores of the 2022 legislative elections teach for La Roche-sur-Yon?

Looking back to analyze the most recent legislative election seems rather sensible at the time of this new meeting of June 30 and July 7. In 2022, in the legislative elections, the National Rally failed in the first round in the commune of La Roche-sur-Yon, grabbing 9.98% of the votes there, compared to 34.77% on average for the Nupes candidates spread across the 2 constituencies covering the commune. In detail, for this first round, we found in the lead in the city Lucie Etonno (NUP) in the 1st constituency with 35.21% and Nicolas Helary (NUP) in the 2nd constituency with 34.42%. In the second round, the RN also failed, still leaving first place to rival candidates bearing the LFI-PS-PC-EELV label with 49.95% against 50.05% for the winners. The list of winners in the city was therefore this time Lucie Etonno (NUP) in the 1st constituency with 51.2% and Béatrice Bellamy (ENS) in the 2nd constituency with 50.88%.

11:02 – Impact of demographic characteristics on the political landscape of La Roche-sur-Yon

The demographic and socio-economic composition of La Roche-sur-Yon determines the concerns and interests of voters, thus playing a role in the results of the legislative elections. In the urban area, 15.49% of residents are children, and 26.24% are 60 years and older. The demographic pyramid can have an effect on political orientations, particularly with regard to education and health care. The percentage of households with at least one car (77.77%) highlights a dependence on the automobile. This factor could affect the 18,869 voters on issues of transport and road development. The number of CAF beneficiaries (27.86%) reveals family support requirements, while the rate of employees on fixed-term contracts (11.6%) highlights challenges of job stability. The percentage of students, 8.45% in La Roche-sur-Yon, highlights the presence of a young and educated population, likely to stimulate innovation and creativity in the region.

09:32 – The legislative elections begin in La Roche-sur-Yon: abstention in question

The turnout will undoubtedly be one of the main factors in the 2024 legislative elections in La Roche-sur-Yon. As a reminder, in the urban area, the turnout in the 2022 legislative elections reached 49.04% in the first round. In the second round, 48.56% of citizens exercised their right to vote. For comparison, across France, the turnout in the 2022 legislative elections was 47.5% in the first round and only 46.2% in the second round. In the first round of the last presidential election, 72.51% of people able to participate in an election in the urban area took part in the election. Turnout was 71.22% in the second round, i.e. 27,361 people.

08:02 – The legislative elections in La Roche-sur-Yon are today

On June 30, 2024, voters in La Roche-sur-Yon have already cast their last ballot in a ballot box three weeks ago, during the European elections marked by the victory of the RN. During the previous legislative elections, in 2022, 89 seats of deputies had been obtained by Jordan Bardella’s party in the Assembly, and 245 for Ensemble. Two rounds are organized to choose among the candidates of the different political alliances in La Roche-sur-Yon, as in the whole of France. Note that the opening hours of the 40 polling stations in La Roche-sur-Yon (from Cyel to Cyel) are as follows: from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m. continuously. To receive the results of the first round of elections in La Roche-sur-Yon free of charge as soon as they are published, click on ‘Activate results alerts’ located at the top of the page.

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