Legislative elections in the 2nd constituency of Var: Can Laure Lavalette (RN) lose her seat as deputy?

The RN in a position of strength

Several elements allow Laure Lavalette, the outgoing MP, to display full confidence on the eve of putting her mandate as MP back into play. First, two years ago, she won quite comfortably (51.64%) against Ange Musso, mayor of Revest, candidate of the presidential majority and supported by all the mayors of the district.

A constituency which also confirmed its penchant for the RN during the last European elections. Jordan Bardella’s party, in fact, garnered 53% of the votes on June 9. “And for two years, above all, I’ve been doing the job.”, she believes. In short, the lights seem green for the candidate. Especially since she chose a substitute with a view to bringing together a larger group. It is in fact Julien Argento, his former LR opponent in 2022, who is campaigning alongside him. No member of the Republicans is running in the constituency.

Who in the 2nd round?

If the highly publicized spokesperson for the National Rally should probably qualify for the second round, the identity (and party) of her opponent is more uncertain. This could be played out between Josy Chambon (presidential majority / Horizons) and Isaline Cornil (New Popular Front). The first, deputy of Josée Massi mayor of Toulon, benefits from certain local support. A large part of the municipal majority, like Senator Michel Bonnus, never stops praising a woman.pugnacious”, “human” and at “strong character.” As for the second, a Spanish teacher, already a candidate in 2022, she wants to learn the lesson of her first campaign. The LFI candidate is banking on the field to make herself known, but above all to defend a program that does not include “only concrete and immediate measures to improve the lives of the French.” Both make the RN their main adversary. The other candidates should, in all likelihood, not really influence the result… However, it remains to be seen who will vote for them on July 7.

Call for mobilization

The key to this election (as is often the case) is undoubtedly the abstainers who have it. And the left intends to go get them. “We want to convince them. This is why, in this campaign, we are increasing door-to-door visits, particularly in the neighborhoods.”, underlines Isaline Cornil. On the Josy Chambon side, we travel through the district between a market in Solliès-Pont or Ollioules, the Music Festival in Toulon…

For Laure Lavalette, “all votes count. And we know well that when we have high polls, there is a risk of demobilization. We will not fall into this pitfall.”

Josy Chambon, 72 years old, presidential majority: Deputy mayor of Toulon, regional councilor, this is her first election under her name. She intends to use her experience as director of the Health Professions Training Institute during this short campaign, emphasizing in particular the difficulties of the hospital. She claims her belonging “center right”. Substitute: Alexandre Risacher.

Florian Fimbel, 33 years old, Let’s Decide Ourselves!: Already a candidate in the 2022 elections but in the 3rd constituency, this “child of Revest” is, in a way, returning home. It represents a national movement attached to Solidarity Regions and Peoples. This former chief of staff to the mayor of Carqueiranne (Robert Masson) claims one thing: “The sovereignty of the people, notably through the establishment of the Citizen Initiative Referendum.” Substitute: Sophie Toulet.

Jean-Michel Ghiotto, 73 years old, Workers’ struggle: The retired teacher is a regular campaigner. He was already a candidate in 2022 and decides to go back for another round. “We embody a rejection of Macron, a rejection of the RN but also of the NFP whose figures have already governed and betrayed the workers. They are the ones who must lead.” Alternate: Élisabeth Mathieu.

Isaline Cornil, 39 years old, New Popular Front: Spanish teacher in a Toulon college, she is also a trade unionist. In 2022, in the first round of the legislative elections, she obtained the honorable score of 18%. And for this year, according to her, “the second round is entirely possible.” To achieve its goals, it relies in particular on “social justice”, “the blocking of prices of basic necessities” et “the return of retirement at 60”. Substitute: Franck Servel.

Julia Bonnefoy35 years old, Reconquête!: A dental surgeon, she got involved in politics during Éric Zemmour’s candidacy for the presidential election in 2022. For her first meeting with voters, she said it loud and clear. strong: “I want to support our ideas: no to massive immigration, no to tax drudgery and no to laxity.” Substitute: Michel Havard.

Olivier Lesage50 years old, Ecology at the center / UDI: “We are the fourth way. That of an independent centrist bloc which should attract the “neithers, nor”, ​​those who want neither Macron nor the extremes.” Among the measures of the program presented, the one which serves as a basis is the fight against pollution. “And this is particularly true for the 2nd district,” assures the computer engineer who is very active within environmental associations. Substitute: Alexandra Perreto.