The inhabitants of the south of the Channel are older than those of the north

The inhabitants of the south of the Channel are older than those of the north
The inhabitants of the south of the Channel are older than those of the north

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Editorial La Presse de la Manche

Published on

June 14, 2024 at 2:22 p.m.
; updated June 14, 2024 at 2:32 p.m.

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The population is aging. INSEE measures it in its latest survey of the active population in Normandy, which could decrease by 200,000 people by 2050.

This represents, in 2020, nearly 1.5 million inhabitants aged 15 to 64, or 74% of this age group and 45% of the total Normandy population. 87.5% of the active population is employed.

“Since 2009, note the authors of the study, the activity rate of those under 25 has decreased by 2.1 points in Normandy, in particular due to the increase in the proportion of young people pursuing studies, to reach 44.2% in 2020, a rate which still remains higher (+3.3 points) than that of mainland France. Conversely, the activity rate of Normans aged 55 or over has been increasing since 2009 (+15.4 points between 2009 and 2020). In 2020, people aged 55 or over represent 16% of employed workers in the region, a proportion identical to that of mainland France. »

Granville – Avranches

Zooming in on the employment areas, we note “relatively diverse” situations. If large cities like Caen, Rouen or Le Havre concentrate almost half of the Normandy working population, sectors like Avranches and Saint-Lô stand out with a larger proportion of workers (76%).

Analysis of data from the southern areas of the region highlights a greater aging of the population like the Granville employment zone where the aging index reaches 1.8 workers aged 55 and over for 1 worker under 25 years old. Avranches is also in this high trend.

Very often, employment areas with a high activity rate also display a high aging index. The aging of the population and the rise in the activity rate at older ages could have a significant impact on the renewal of the workforce.

INSEE study

According to projections, the loss of active population is estimated at 13% in 25 years: “Normandy would be exposed to the sharpest decline among all metropolitan regions, while the active population of mainland France would remain stable. »

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