This Friday evening, the Estadio de Mestalla will be the scene of a duel with diametrically opposed issues between Valencia and Real Madrid. The Merengues, runners-up to Atletico Madrid with 40 points and an impressive differential of +23, travel to Valencia in the midst of a crisis, stuck in 19th place with only 12 points.
The mission promises to be delicate for Che who must react to avoid seeing Espanyol, 18th with three points ahead, widen the gap further. Real Madrid, for its part, could temporarily take the lead in La Liga in the event of a victory, thus putting pressure on its neighbor Atletico before the rest of this 12th day.
Valencia – Real Madrid match details
- Stade: Mestalla Stadium
- Time: 01/03/2025 9:00 p.m.
Who is the favorite for Valencia – Real Madrid
Discover the probabilities for the different 1X2 predictions as well as the best odds for the match on 03/01/2025 between Valencia and Real Madrid in La Liga.
- Valencia victory : 11% chance.
- Draw : 17% chance.
- Victory for Real Madrid : 72% chance.
The Cote de Valence – Real Madrid
For football predictions on the Valencia – Real Madrid match, Real Madrid appears as favorite with an odds of 1.36
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Valencia – Real Madrid predictions and odds:
Valencia – Real Madrid: Comparison of the best odds
Last updated on 01/03/2025 at 1:44 p.m. Dimension heights may vary.
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Valencia – Real Madrid: History of confrontations
02/03/2024 | Valence | 2 – 2 | Real Madrid |
11/11/2023 | Real Madrid ???? | 5 – 1 | Valencia |
21/05/2023 | Valence ???? | 1 – 0 | Real Madrid |
02/02/2023 | Real Madrid ???? | 2 – 0 | Valencia |
11/01/2023 | Real Madrid ???? | 1 – 1 | Valencia |
Valencia: News and form
Valencia is going through a particularly delicate period, finding itself in a worrying 19th place in the La Liga standings. The last few weeks have not allowed the club to turn things around, with only two points collected in the last four championship matches.
Glaring defensive weaknesses
The 2-2 draw against Alavés on the last day perfectly illustrates the team's current difficulties. Despite a proud reaction at the end of the match, with a saving goal from Dani Gómez in added time, the Valencians continue to display a worrying defensive fragility, having conceded goals in each of their last five matches.
Difficulty start to the match
Even more worrying, the team is struggling considerably in the first half, having not scored a goal in the first 45 minutes of its last five games.
A transition under Carlos Corberán
The arrival of Carlos Corberán on the bench has not yet produced the hoped-for shock. The three-point gap with the first non-relegation team, Espanyol, is starting to weigh heavily on the morale of the players and the hopes of remaining.
A rare glimmer of hope
The qualification for the Copa del Rey obtained against Ejea (1-3) constitutes a positive note, but the club will have to quickly find consistency in the championship. With the upcoming reception of Real Madrid, the challenge to get back on track promises to be immense.
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Kylian Mbappé has scored a goal in his last four games with Real Madrid, and he will no doubt be determined to continue his momentum for his first match of 2025. After an end to 2025 marked by many criticisms, he will look probably to find his rhythm and respond on the ground.
- Cote : 1.70
- Bookmaker : Winamax
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Key points (Valencia):
- Alarming ranking : Valencia occupies a worrying 19th place in La Liga, with only two points collected in the last four championship matches, illustrating a prolonged crisis.
- Defensive weaknesses : The team has conceded goals in each of its last five meetings, including in the 2-2 draw against Alavés, highlighting a vulnerable defense.
- Difficult start to the match : Valencia is having great difficulty in the first half, having scored no goals in the first 45 minutes of its last five matches, which complicates its management of matches.
- Transition sous Carlos Corberán : The arrival of the new coach has not yet produced the expected results, while the three-point gap with the first non-relegation team (Espanyol) weighs heavily on the hopes of maintaining.
- Glimmer of hope in the Coupe du Roi : The qualification against Ejea (1-3) constitutes a rare positive point, but the next match against Real Madrid represents an immense challenge to relaunch in the league.
Valencia: The last five matches
22/12/2024 | Valencia | 2 – 2 | Alaves |
18/12/2024 | Espanyol | 1 – 1 | Valencia |
13/12/2024 | Valladolid | 1 – 0 | Valencia |
07/12/2024 | Valencia | 0 – 1 | Rayo Vallecano |
04/12/2024 | Ejea | 1 – 3 | Valencia |
Compositions probables Valence
For the reception of Real Madrid, Valencia should play in 4-2-3-1, with Dimitrievski in goal, replacing Mamardashvili (uncertain). In defense, Mosquera and Gasiorowski will form the central hinge, supervised by Foulquier on the right and Gayà, if restored, or a replacement on the left.
In the middle, the Guerra-Barrenechea duo should compensate for the absence of Pepelu. In attack, Almeida will occupy the role of playmaker, supported on the wings by Diego López and Luis Rioja, while Hugo Duro will be aligned up front.
This composition aims to maintain defensive balance while banking on the creativity of Almeida and the mobility of Duro to worry Real Madrid.
Real Madrid: News and form
Real Madrid are going through an exceptional period, displaying impressive form with four wins and a draw in their last five outings. Currently second in La Liga, one point behind Atlético Madrid, Carlo Ancelotti's team demonstrates remarkable offensive efficiency.
An attack with full confidence
The Merengues have scored in each half of their last meetings, illustrating their consistency and their dangerousness. The last match against Sevilla (4-2) highlighted a successful collective performance, with a decisive Kylian Mbappé from the 10th minute. The connection between the attackers, notably Rodrygo and Mbappé, is particularly notable, while Jude Bellingham impresses with his precision in passing and his influence on the game.
Notable successes
The success in the Intercontinental Cup against Pachuca (3-0) and the crucial away victory against Girona (3-0) demonstrate Real Madrid's ability to win in different contexts. Even the spectacular draw against Rayo Vallecano (3-3) highlighted the character and resilience of the team.
A formidable offensive power
With an average of more than three goals per match over this period, Real Madrid confirms its status as a serious contender for the title. The Merengues stand out for their efficiency and their ability to gain the upper hand over their opponents in all phases of the game.
A defense that can still be improved
Despite this positive dynamic, defensive solidity remains a point of attention. The team have conceded avoidable goals in their recent outings, a weakness that Carlo Ancelotti will surely look to correct to shore up his side's ambitions.
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Real Madrid showed a clear rise in power at the end of 2024 and could well take the temporary lead in La Liga. They will certainly not intend to relax their efforts at the start of 2025. We can expect to see the Merengue in great form this Friday evening, for this catch-up match which seems within their reach against Valence.
- Cote : 1.38
- Bookmaker : Winamax
Last updated on 01/03/2025 at 1:44 p.m. Dimension heights may vary.
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Key points (Real Madrid):
- Exceptional shape : With four wins and a draw in their last five matches, Real Madrid displays impressive momentum, positioning themselves second in La Liga, one point behind Atlético Madrid.
- Fearsome attack : The Merengues score in each half of their matches, thanks to solid collective performances. Kylian Mbappé, Rodrygo, and Jude Bellingham shine with their offensive impact and their influence on the game.
- Notable successes : Real Madrid achieved significant victories, such as in the Intercontinental Cup against Pachuca (3-0) and in La Liga against Girona (3-0), while showing their resilience in the spectacular draw against Rayo Vallecano (3-3) .
- Offensive efficiency : With an average of more than three goals per match recently, Real Madrid stands out for its efficiency and its ability to dominate its opponents in all phases of the game.
- Improved defense : Although performing well, the team remains vulnerable defensively, having conceded avoidable goals, an aspect that Carlo Ancelotti will need to improve to secure the club's ambitions.
Real Madrid: The last five matches
22/12/2024 | Real Madrid | 4 – 2 | Sevilla |
18/12/2024 | Real Madrid | 3 – 0 | Pachuca |
14/12/2024 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 – 3 | Real Madrid |
10/12/2024 | Atalanta | 2 – 3 | Real Madrid |
07/12/2024 | Girona | 0 – 3 | Real Madrid |
Compositions probables Real Madrid
To face Valencia, Carlo Ancelotti could opt for a 4-2-3-1, despite the absences of several key players. Courtois, usual starter in goal, will keep his place, with a defense made up of Lucas Vázquez on the right, Rüdiger and Tchouaméni in the central hinge, and Camavinga on the left side.
In the middle, Valverde and Ceballos should be aligned to secure recovery and direct the play. In attack, Bellingham will play as a playmaker behind Mbappé, while Rodrygo and Vinícius Jr. will lead the wings.
With options like Nacho and Joselu as reinforcements, Ancelotti will rely on a balanced formation, combining defensive solidity and offensive creativity, to achieve a positive result against Valencia.
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