Pronostic Newcastle – Wolves

This meeting on the 21st day of the Premier League pits two teams with diametrically opposed dynamics against each other. Newcastle, fifth in the standings with 35 points, is riding an impressive run of eight consecutive victories, the latest against Arsenal (2-0) in the semi-final first leg of the Carabao Cup. Eddie Howe’s men, uncompromising at home in recent weeks, can legitimately aim for fourth place occupied by Chelsea, from whom they are only one point apart.

Facing them, the Wolves are going through a more delicate period. Seventeenth with 16 points, they are only ahead of Ipswich on goal difference and remain with checkered results. The probable arrival of Zakaria Aboukhlal from Toulouse could bring a new offensive breath to Vitor Pereira’s team, but this trip to St. James’ Park promises to be particularly perilous for a team which is struggling to win away from its bases.

The context seems particularly favorable to the Magpies who, buoyed by their public and their excellent current form, seem able to achieve another success to put pressure on the top 4.

Details of the match Newcastle – Wolverhampton

• Stade: St. James’ Park
• Time: 01/15/2025 8:30 p.m.

The Newcastle – Wolverhampton coast

For football predictions on the Newcastle – Wolves match, Newcastle appears as favorite with odds of 1.35.

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Who is the favorite for Newcastle – Wolves

Discover the probabilities for the different 1X2 predictions as well as the best odds for the match on 01/15/2025 between Newcastle and Wolves in the Premier League.

• Newcastle win : 67% chance.
• Draw : 17% chance.
• Victory in Wolverhampton : 16% chance.

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Newcastle – Wolverhampton: History of confrontations

The recent confrontations between Newcastle and the Wolves have clearly gone to the advantage of the Magpies who remain undefeated in their last 5 face-to-face, with 3 victories and 2 draws.

The last meeting, in September 2024, ended in a 2-1 away victory for Newcastle. This victory followed a clearer success (3-0) at St James’ Park in March 2024. Previously, the two teams had neutralized each other (2-2) in October 2023.

The offensive statistics are particularly revealing: Newcastle have systematically found the net in the last 5 confrontations, scoring at least two goals in their last three victories. The Wolves, for their part, scored in 80% of matches but never managed to win over this period.

Another notable aspect is the consistency in the number of goals: 80% of matches saw more than 2.5 goals, while remaining below 3.5 goals. This tendency for matches to be relatively prolific in terms of goals, combined with the offensive efficiency of the two teams (the two teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 duels), suggests another lively meeting.

Newcastle: News and form

Newcastle are currently going through an exceptional period with an impressive run of five consecutive victories in all competitions. The Magpies, fifth in the Premier League, caused a sensation by winning at the Emirates Stadium against Arsenal (0-2) in the semi-final first leg of the League Cup, taking a serious option for a place in the final at Wembley . Eddie Howe’s team demonstrates remarkable solidity, having conceded only one goal in their last five meetings, against Bromley in the FA Cup (3-1).

Intractable for a month

The team’s offensive strength is particularly illustrated with Alexander Isak in great form, while Bruno Guimarães continues to orchestrate the midfield with his usual precision in passing. The statistics speak for themselves: Newcastle have scored in each of their first periods in their last five matches, demonstrating an ability to quickly take control of matches.

Stunning verticality

The significant away victories against Manchester United (0-2) and Tottenham (1-2) demonstrate the maturity acquired by this team. One point behind Chelsea and with the same gap ahead of Manchester City, Newcastle is asserting itself as a serious candidate for European places. The versatility of the squad allows Eddie Howe to maintain a high level of performance despite the sequence of matches in three different competitions. The Magpies seem to have found their cruising speed, even if the possible departure of Miguel Almiron, mentioned in the press, could disrupt this great dynamic.

Newcastle – Key Points

• Exceptional shape : Newcastle remains on five consecutive victories in all competitions, consolidating its position of 5th in the Premier League.
• Defensive solidity : The Magpies have only conceded one goal in their last five matches, illustrating their defensive rigor.
• Key Performances : Impressive away victories against Arsenal (0-2) in the semi-final first leg of the League Cup, Manchester United (0-2), and Tottenham (1-2), demonstrating their maturity in major meetings.
• Offensive efficiency : Alexander Isak shines in attack, supported by a midfield well orchestrated by Bruno Guimarães. The team has scored in every first period of its last five games, quickly taking the lead.
• Strategic position : Newcastle is one point behind Chelsea and maintains a one-point gap ahead of Manchester City, consolidating its European ambitions.
• Roster depth : Despite a busy schedule in three competitions, the team maintains a high level of performance thanks to the versatility of its squad.
• Possible turbulence : Departure rumors regarding Miguel Almiron could disrupt the Magpies’ momentum.

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Newcastle: Last five matches

Compositions probables Newcastle

The team could play in 4-3-3, a well-established system, favoring control of the midfield and rapid transitions to the attack. Dubravka should keep the goals, supported by a solid defense consisting of Trippier and Targett on the flanks, with Schär and Kelly in the middle. In the middle, Bruno Guimarães would play a hub role, supported by Longstaff and Miley to ensure the balance between recovery and projection. In attack, Almirón and Gordon would occupy the wings to provide speed and depth, while Isak would be the reference up front to conclude actions.

Wolverhampton: News and form

Wolves are going through a rather encouraging period with three wins in their last five matches, including a convincing 2-0 success against Manchester United and a convincing 3-0 victory against Leicester. Their last result in the FA Cup, a 2-1 victory at Bristol City, confirms their good momentum despite some scares in the second half. Vitor Pereira’s team demonstrates a real ability to score, with at least one goal scored in 80% of their recent matches, particularly prolific in the first period where they regularly exceed the 1.5 goal mark.

A club on the edge

However, their precarious position in the ranking (17th) with only one point ahead of the red zone illustrates the fragility of their situation. The 3-0 home defeat against Nottingham Forest was a reminder that the team still has room for improvement defensively. The 2-2 draw snatched from Tottenham nevertheless demonstrates a certain resilience against the teams at the top of the table.

As strong in front as fragile behind

Matheus Cunha continues to be the offensive spearhead of the team, well supported by a team which produces more attractive football than at the start of the season. Wolves seem to have found an interesting balance, even if their survival is still far from assured with Ipswich close behind them on equal points. The next meetings will be crucial to capitalize on this improvement and move away from the danger zone once and for all.

Wolverhampton – Key Points

• Encouraging form : Three victories in the last five matches, including a 2-0 victory against Manchester United and a 3-0 against Leicester, as well as an FA Cup victory against Bristol City (2-1).
• Offensive solidity : The team shows a regular ability to score, scoring at least one goal in 80% of its last matches, particularly effective in the first half with scores often above 1.5 goals.
• Delicate position : Despite their recent form, Wolverhampton sit in 17th place, just one point ahead of the red zone, reflecting their fragility.
• Improved defense : 3-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest highlights defensive shortcomings, although 2-2 draw against Tottenham shows resilience against big teams.
• Attack at height : Matheus Cunha is the main offensive asset, supported by a more fluid team than at the start of the season.
• Fragile balance : Although the offensive performances are promising, the fight for survival remains very tight, with Ipswich trailing Wolves on equal points.

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Wolves: Last five games

Compositions probables Wolves

Wolves are expected to opt for a 3-4-3 formation, strengthening the defensive line with Doherty, Bueno and Agbadou. The midfield will be made up of Rodrigo Gomes, André and João Gomes, offering a balance between recovery and recovery. Aït-Nouri will provide an offensive option on the left side. In attack, Guedes, Cunha and Hwang will play a key role in energizing the offensive sector, with flexibility to exploit spaces and create opportunities. The absence of certain important players does not affect the team’s ability to adapt and remain competitive.