Polls, consequences for Europe, protests… What do we think of this new American presidential election, which should decide between Trump and Harris?
High participation
“82 million Americans have already votedexplains Maxime Chervaux, professor at the French Institute of Geopolitics, specialist in the United States. We are already halfway through the 2020 participation already recorded. Now, Election Day is the end of the election, as voting has now been over three weeks in some states.”
Will participation be high? “It's possible. We had already voted a lot in 2020. We hadn't voted so much in the United States for a very long time. We are 25 points less than in a presidential election in France.” What about pollster predictions? “Traditionally, it was said that the higher the turnout, the more advantaged the Democrats were.”
Donald Trump is already talking about fraud
“The voters who are not going to participate are both minority and middle-class and even working-class voters. But also white rural voters. This could benefit both candidates this year.” And if Trump loses, does he lose everything? “If he wins, in any case, his trials will be canceled or suspended for a certain period of time. Some will resume as early as November, and all current cases will continue.”
“If one of the candidates wins by a large margin, we will be able to find out tomorrow during the day, estimates Maxime Chervaux, professor at the French Institute of Geopolitics, specialist in the United States. As in 2020, we can also wait until Friday. As long as the margins of victory are not in the thousand votes, we could have a fairly quick answer, tomorrow evening.” Donald Trump is already talking about fraud… “He had already done it in 2020, it’s a way of fending off a defeat and keeping his voters engaged.”
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