After the earthquake of dissolution, the campaign for the legislative elections is already accelerating

After the earthquake of dissolution, the campaign for the legislative elections is already accelerating
After the earthquake of dissolution, the campaign for the legislative elections is already accelerating
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Keystone-SDA

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June 11, 2024 – 00:02

(Keystone-ATS) The day after the thunderclap of the dissolution announced by Emmanuel Macron, the major maneuvers began: Jordan Bardella’s RN seeks to broaden its base and makes advances to LR. The left puts the name of a potential Prime Minister on the table.

The head of state will enter the campaign fully on Tuesday, holding a press conference in the afternoon.

The political class spent its day in meetings and other secret or highly publicized meetings, after the historic victory of the far right in the European elections on Sunday and the resounding dissolution of the National Assembly.

France is now plunged into a zone of turbulence, unfolding “an extraordinarily uncertain scenario” in the words of Brice Teinturier, Deputy Managing Director of Ipsos.

Blitz campaign

Three weeks of blitzkrieg campaign open before the first round of legislative elections on June 30 then the second on July 7, on the eve of the Paris Olympic Games (July 26 – August 11).

Applications must be submitted between Wednesday June 12 and Sunday June 16 at 6:00 p.m., according to the decree published Monday in the Official Journal. The electoral campaign for the first round will begin on Monday June 17.

This is a gamble for Emmanuel Macron because the sanction vote has just reached records. Led by Jordan Bardella, the National Rally list triumphed with some 31.37% of the votes, far ahead of the Macronist candidate Valérie Hayer (14.60%) and the head of the PS list Raphaël Glucksmann (13.83%) .

Bardella courts LR

Marine Le Pen reaffirmed that Jordan Bardella was destined to become Prime Minister in the event of her camp’s victory on July 7. She recalled the sharing of roles within the RN: it’s up to her to run for the presidency, it’s up to him to target Matignon.

The young president of the party posed as a unifier on Monday by receiving Marion Maréchal at the RN headquarters under the eye of a swarm of cameras.

Ms. Maréchal, head of the Reconquest list freshly elected in Brussels (5.74%), expressed her “ardent wish” for an agreement with the RN with a view to the legislative elections, at the end of an hour-long interview in which her aunt Marine Le Pen participated.

Above all, Mr. Bardella, recognizing that it was “difficult to win alone”, “extended his hand” to the Republicans, claiming to have had “discussions” with some of their executives. The RN is ready not to present candidates against LR “to bring people together”, added Marine Le Pen on TF1.

A way of sowing even more confusion among LRs more than ever in search of a guideline, after a new dull score on Sunday (7.25%).

Laurent Berger proposed

On the left, Raphaël Glucksmann repeated his line of firmness against the rebellious France of Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Above all, he proposed that in the event of a victory for the left, the name of the former general secretary of the CFDT Laurent Berger would be proposed for the post of Prime Minister.

Fierce opponent of Emmanuel Macron’s pension reform, Laurent Berger is “a figure of civil society who is capable of appeasement, who is the antithesis of the current president, who will not play with the institutions, who will reconcile the French ”, he said on France 2.

Meanwhile, the left-wing parties gathered at the headquarters of the Ecologists and carried out difficult negotiations to reach an agreement for the legislative elections.

The socialists, who intend to push their advantage born from Raphaël Glucksmann’s good score ahead of LFI (9.89%), also participated in a first meeting in the morning with EELV, the PCF, unions and members of civil society.

“Popular Front”

Raphaël Glucksmann displayed his “rejection of the brutality of political life, insults, fake news, slander”, in a clear allusion to the strategy of conflictuality of the political debate chosen by the rebellious leader.

The socialists have in fact joined the proposal to form a “popular front” to counter the extreme right, formulated by François Ruffin, a rebellious MP who has distanced himself from the leadership of the movement.

In 2022, PS, LFI, PCF and Ecologists had achieved a feat by bringing in 151 deputies thanks to the Nupes alliance which imploded last fall.

The left is in any case in a hurry to unite on all sides, while calls to this effect have flourished from unions, feminist associations and even the world of culture.

This frontal opposition to the RN is encouraged in the streets. Youth organizations called for a rally Monday evening at Place de République in Paris, and several thousand people demonstrated in Marseille, Montpellier, Rennes, Nantes and Rouen.

According to a very first Harris Interactive – Toluna poll published Monday, the RN would obtain 34% of voting intentions in the first round, compared to 22% for the left if it is united and 19% for the Macronists.

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