Hastily assembled, the New Popular Front, which brings together the Socialist Party (PS), the Communist Party (PC), the Ecologists, La France insoumise (LFI) and Raphaël Glucksmann’s party, Place publique, ultimately did better than the New Ecological and Social Popular Union (Nupes) in June 2022. In the first round of these early legislative elections, it obtained 28.1% of the vote, falling behind the National Rally (RN) and its allies and ahead of Ensemble, the presidential coalition, according to initial estimates from the Ipsos Talan institute for France Télévisions, Radio France, France 24-RFI and LCP Assemblée nationale. And this in a context of high turnout – it is estimated at between 67.5 and 69.7% by the various polling institutes, compared to 47.5% in 2022.
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For this election evening, the PS, the ecologists and the “rebels” have first planned to each meet in separate campaign HQs, before meeting together at Place de la République in Paris from 10 p.m. United again, the left seems to benefit from the strong mobilization against the far right and the collapse of the presidential coalition. The picture is therefore very different from the 2022 elections. In the first round of the 2022 legislative elections, Nupes, concluded in thirteen days and thirteen nights, whose slogan was “Jean-Luc Mélenchon prime minister”, captured 25.7% of the votes. and 5.8 million voters. She was hot on the heels of the presidential camp and its 25.8% of the vote. The RN was then in third position (18.7%).
In the second round, Nupes attracted 31.6% of the vote (6.5 million votes). Finally, the left-wing coalition entered the National Assembly with 131 of the 577 seats. How far will the New Popular Front succeed in breaking through? Its momentum will depend on withdrawals during the three-way, or even the four-way, races and on the voting instructions given by Emmanuel Macron. Until then, the President of the Republic had rather advocated the “Ni-ni”neither RN nor LFI. A line that has caused coughing even in his own camp, while 220 political and civil society figures called in a forum for Monde to accept withdrawals for the benefit of the candidate best placed against the RN. Only Jean-Luc Mélenchon had distanced himself, saying « certain » on LCI, that “no “rebellious” voter will ever give their vote to the RN”. Opening the possibility for its voters to abstain or vote blank in the second round of these legislative elections, scheduled for Sunday July 7.
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