While this Sunday, nearly 50 million French people are expected in the voting booths on the occasion of this first round of the Legislative elections, Sud Radio suggests you focus on the 3rd constituency. In Lot-et-Garonne, in the Alpes Maritimes and in Seine-Saint-Denis where 3 personalities have made a lot of noise.
The legislative climate in the 3rd constituency of Lot-et-Garonne
Voting intention in the first round of the legislative elections :
This is one of the constituencies that is under the radar. More than 6 years after his conviction for tax fraud, Jérôme Cahuzac revealed that he was a candidate in his region of Lot-et-Garonne. But his return could be a failure for the former mayor of Villeneuve-sur-Lot. According to our Ifop Fiducial survey for Sud Radio, Jérôme Cahuzac is credited with 23% voting intention. He is narrowly ahead of the Republican candidate, Guillaume Lepers, and Xavier Czapla, NFP candidate, both at 19%.
But the former Minister of the Budget would be ahead of 15 points in the polls by the RN candidate, Annick Cousin (38%)
Voting intention in the second round of the legislative elections
In the event of a second round, New Popular Front / Center Left / National Rally, Annick Cousin, candidate of the National Rally, would emerge winner of these elections with 47% of voting intentions against 31% for Jérôme Cahuzac, candidate of the center left and 22% for Xavier Czapla, La France insoumise candidate supported by the New Popular Front.
In the hypothesis of a second round with a center left / National Rally duel, it is Annick Cousin, candidate of the National Rally who could tip the scales with 51% of the voting intentions.
The legislative climate in the 1st constituency of the Alpes Maritimes
Voting intention in the first round of the next legislative elections
Here too, in the Alpes-Maritimes, the 1st constituency will be very closely scrutinized. After having hoped that his party would join that of the National Rally, Éric Ciotti, elected in the region since 2007, will try to keep his seat as deputy.
And according to our poll, the contested president of the Republicans is credited with 42% of voting intentions, far ahead of his adversaries from Horizons and the New Popular Front.
Voting intention in the second round of the legislative elections
In the event of a three-way race in the second round of the legislative elections, it is Éric CIOTTI, candidate for the Union for France, who seems to be the standout with 47% of voting intentions, compared to 27% for Craig MONETTI, candidate for Horizons supported by the presidential majority, but also Olivier SALERNO, candidate for La France insoumise supported by the New Popular Front, who could obtain the same score.
In the event of a duel between Éric Ciotti and the New Popular Front in the second round, the candidate of the Union for France would obtain 60% of voting intentions.
The legislative climate in the 7th district of Seine-Saint-Denis
Voting intention in the first round of the next legislative elections
Finally, the 7th constituency of Seine-Saint-Denis is the scene of a fratricidal battle between two left-wing candidates. The first, Alexis Corbière, wears the colors of the new union of the left but was not officially supported by La France Insoumise. The second is Sabrina Ali-Benali. It is officially supported by LFI and its omnipotent leader, Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Proof of the divisions that reign within this union, there are two “New Popular Front” candidates, two left-wing candidates and two candidates who say they are close to La France Insoumise who are running. This is surprising. In any case, according to our Ifop Fiducial poll for Sud Radio, it is the outgoing candidate Alexis Corbière who is leading the voting intentions.
Voting intention in the second round of the next legislative elections
In the event of a duel between Sabrina Ali-Benali and Alexis Corbière in the second round, the candidate of the New Popular Front could obtain 54% of the votes.
Find our latest rolling of the 2024 legislative elections and all our Ifop polls for Fiducial here. All the news of the legislative elections can also be seen on our Youtube channel.
