Odds, Lines, Prop Bets, Predictions And Picks

Saturday’s UFC 310 fight card features a flyweight title fight as the main event. In that matchup, UFC flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja looks to make the third defense of his title. His opponent in tomorrow at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is former two-time Rizin bantamweight titleholder Kai Asakura, who makes his UFC debut at UFC 310. We look at the betting odds, line movement, prediction, picks and prop bets for the UFC 310 PPV card.

The UFC 310 PPV fight card streams on ESPN+ following prelims on ESPN2 and early prelims on ESPN+.

In the evening’s co-main event, two undefeated welterweights battle in what is likely a title eliminator. That fight features Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Ian Machado Garry. The winner is likely to meet UFC 170-pound titleholder Belal Muhammad in their next outing.

Also on the UFC 309 PPV fight card is a heavyweight scrap between former UFC interim champion Ciryl Gane and Alexander Volkov.

Below, we look at the betting odds, line movement, potential prop bets, fight picks, predictions, and more for tomorrow night’s UFC 310 main card.

UFC 310 Main Event Preview, Odds and Predictions: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Asakura

Alexandre Pantoja (28-5) is on a six-fight winning streak heading into UFC 310. The 34-year-old Brazilian made his UFC debut in July 2017 with a split-decision win over Eric Shelton. Pantoja’s career had its ups and downs over the next three years, where he went 5-3, but he has not lost since he dropped a decision to Askar Askarov in July 2020.

Pantoja won the UFC flyweight title in July 2023 on the heels of two “Performance of the Night” submission wins. Pantoja secured the 125-pound title with a split decision win over Brandon Moreno. Since that victory, Pantoja has defended his title twice, beating Brandon Royval in December and Steve Erceg in May. Both fights ended in decision victories.

Kai Asakura (21-4) signed with the UFC in June. The 31-year-old is a two-time Rizin bantamweight champion. His first title run began with a knockout victory over Hiromasa Ougikubo following a TKO loss to current UFC competitor Manel Kape in December 2019. That reign ended in his first defense with a KO loss to Kyoji Horiguchi. Following that loss, Asakura went 4-1 before regaining the vacant 135-pound belt in December 2023 with a TKO over Juan Archuleta. Asakura has not fought since that victory.

When the betting odds were first listed for this matchup, Pantoja was the -250 betting favorite over the +200 Asakura. Those odds have held. Seventy-Four percent of the bets have come in on the underdog, while 55 percent of the handle has been on the champion.

The betting pick and prediction for the UFC 310 main event is Pantoja via decision.

UFC 310 Co-Main Event Preview, Odds and Predictions: Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Ian Machado Garry

The UFC initially booked Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0) against UFC welterweight champion Belal Muhammad for this card. That fight fell through when Muhammad was forced from the event with a bone infection in his two. Rakhmonov enters UFC 310 is the No. 3 fighter in the official UFC welterweight rankings.

Rakhmonov joined the UFC in October 2020 after winning and defending the M-1 Global welterweight crown. The 30-year-old from Uzbekistan has rocketed up the UFC rankings thanks to a 100 percent finishing rate. In six UFC outings, Rakhmonov has five submissions and one knockout. Only one of his UFC outings has made it to the third round.

In his most recent fight, Rakhmonov submitted former two-time UFC title challenger Stephen Thompson. That fight took place in December 2023.

Rakhmonov has only gone past the second round once in his career and that came in March 2023 when he submitted Geoff Neal at 4:17 of the third stanza.

Garry (15-0) has an 8-0 record under the UFC banner. The 27-year-old has five decisions and three knockouts. In his most recent outing, Garry defeated Michael “Venom” Page at UFC 303.

Garry initially came across as a Conor McGregor clone, but the confident Irish fighter has found his own personality as a competitor who is more than willing to take on the toughest the competitors the UFC can book him against.

This fight is a massive step up in competition for Garry. A win over an opponent as talented as Rakhmonov will be a huge boost to Garry’s fortunes, as well as for his already overflowing confidence.

The opening betting lines for the UFC 310 co-main event had Rakhmonov as the -375 favorite over Garry, who was +290. Today, Rakhmonov is listed at -400, while Garry is the +300 betting underdog. For this contest, 81 percent of the bets have come in on Garry, while 61 percent of the money is on Rakhmonov.

The betting pick and prediction for the UFC 310 co-main event is for Rakhmonov to score a knockout victory.

UFC 310 Preview, Odds and Predictions: Ciryl Gane vs. Alexander Volkov 2

Ciryl Gane (12-2) is the No. 2 fighter in the official UFC heavyweight rankings. The 34-year-old French competitor has only lost in UFC title fights, falling to Francis Ngannou by decision in 2022 for the undisputed title, and losing to Jon Jones via submission in 2023 for the vacant belt. Gane did capture the interim heavyweight belt in 2021 with a knockout of Derrick Lewis. In his most recent trip to the Octagon, Gane defeated Serghei Spivac by TKO. That bout took place in September 2023.

Gane debuted with the UFC in 2019 following a Muay Thai career. He was 3-0 in MMA when he first fought inside the Octagon. Gane went 7-0 to begin his UFC career. His first loss came in a title unification bout against Ngannou.

Alexander Volkov (38-10) is ranked at No. 3 in the UFC’s heavyweight divison. The 36-year-old has been with the organization since 2016, but has never fought for UFC gold. Volkov is currently riding a four-fight winning streak with his most recent outing being a June 2024 decision win over interim title challenger Sergei Pavlovich.

Volkov has been with the UFC since 2016. He has had an up-and-down run with the promotion. His longest winning streak before his current four-fight unbeaten run came when he opened his UFC career at 3-0.

Gane opened as a -275 betting favorite over Volkov, who was the +210 betting underdog. Today, Gane is listed at -350, while Volkov is +275. A whopping 83 percent of the bets in this contest have been on Gane, while 52 percent of the money has come in on the former interim champ.

The betting pick and prediction for the rematch between Gane and Volkov is for Gane win via decision.

UFC 310 Preview, Odds and Predictions: Bryce Mitchell vs. Kron Gracie

Bryce Mitchell (16-2) has not fought since Josh Emmett leveled him with one of the nastier knockouts of 2023. Mitchell, true to his word, took a year off after that knockout loss to allow himself to recover. He returns at UFC 310 against a fighter who is not known for his striking, Kron Gracie (5-2). Gracie, who is riding a two-fight losing skid, last competed in May 2023 when Charles Jourdain defeated him via decision. That fight was Gracie’s first bout since he dropped a decision to Cub Swanson in 2019.

I’m unsure why this featherweight fight is on the UFC 310 main card, but it is.

Mitchell opened as a substantial -550 favorite, and is now an enormous -900 favorite. Meanwhile, Gracie has moved from +400 to +575. With the odds being what they are, bettors are looking for value. Gracie has picked up 77 percent of the action, while the handle is evenly split between the two competitors.

The betting pick and prediction is for Mitchell to grind out a decision.

UFC 310 Preview, Odds and Predictions: Nate Landwehr vs. Dooho Choi

In the opening fight on the UFC 310 PPV card, Nate Landwehr (18-5) faces Dooho Choi (15-4-1) in a 145-pound scrap. Landwehr is coming off a March 2024 knockout win over Jamall Emmers in his most recent outing. As for Choi, his last fight was a TKO win over Bill Algeo in July of this year.

The opening odds for this contest saw Landwehr listed at -165 and Choi at +140. The betting line has become tighter on this one. Landwehr is still the favorite at -135, while Choi is at +110. As for the bettors, they have placed 62 percent of the bets on the underdog. Choi has also picked up 86 percent of the handle.

The betting picks and predictions for this fight are for Landwehr to earn a knockout victory.

UFC 310 Fight Card: Prop Bets to Consider

Alexandre Pantoja to beat Kai Asakura by decision: +300

Shavkat Rakhmonov to defeat Ian Machado Garry by knockout in Rd 3: +550

Nate Landwehr to beat Dooho Choi via knockout: +300

Dooho Choi to beat Nate Landwehr via knockout: +275

Anthony Smith to beat Dominick Reyes via decision: +750

Movsar Evloev to defeat Aljamain Sterling via decision: -150

Kennedy Nzechukwu to beat Lukasz Brzeski via knockout: -160

All odds for the UFC 310 fight card previews, picks and predictions supplied by BetMGM.