If we only needed proof of the reconfiguration of the French political landscape currently at work, it can be found in the history of the results in the first round of the legislative elections. Looking back at the scores of the main parties over the last 20 years, the developments are clear and marked. Starting with the National Rally which emerges as the main winner. With its 34.2% of votes obtained according to the first estimates this Sunday, June 30, the far-right party has recorded a surge since the 2022 legislative elections. On June 12, 2022, the RN recorded 18.68% of the votes in the first round . A score in line with the upward dynamic that has carried it since 2002, the year when Jean-Marie Le Pen reached the second round of the presidential election.
Conversely, Les Républicains (formerly UMP) have only fallen since 2007. While the right-wing party was close to 40% following Nicolas Sarkozy’s victory at the Elysée, it fell below 30%. from 2012, then below 20% in 2017. The first estimates credit it with barely 10% for these legislative elections. The consequences of a fractured party. Did Eric Ciotti’s joining the National Rally with part of the Republicans accelerate the decline of the party?
On the left of the political spectrum, the socialists collapsed in 2017, after five years of presidency of François Hollande. So much so that La France insoumise had achieved a better score in the first round of 2017. In 2022 as for these 2024 legislative elections, the left-wing parties formed a united front, a profitable strategy given the scores recorded: with almost 30% this Sunday June 30, the New Popular Front asserted itself as the second political force in France.
