The first round of legislative elections takes place this Sunday and the different parties, political unions and personalities are finishing their official electoral campaign in their respective constituencies. The objective? Pass the first round or even obtain more than 50% to be elected on Sunday.
We have collected for you the results of recent surveys carried out by various institutes such as Ifop-Fiducial, Opinion Way, Elabe, and Harris Interactive. The chart included in this article provides a visual overview of voting intentions for the parliamentary elections, based on different institutes and opposition scenarios.
Voting intentions in the 2024 legislative elections
Voting intentions in the first round of the legislative elections are constantly evolving in the latest polls carried out by the various institutes. According to Ifop-Fiducial, 66% of voters intend to vote on Sunday. This participation index, compared to 2022, which was 49% (i.e. 17 points more) shows a certain awareness of voters, after the results of the European elections of June 9.
Find all the results of the 2024 legislative elections on election day on our results page.
See the results
The National Rally unites and divides
The rise of Jordan Bardella’s National Rally during the previous European elections as well as the rise of the far right in France led the left and environmentalists to unite with the New Popular Front. According to the latest polls, the RN would garner more than 35% of voting intentions. If this intention comes to fruition, this would allow the party to obtain between 220 to 260 seats in the National Assembly.
By default, we show you the latest polls published by Harris Interactive. By clicking on the drop-down menu of the graph, you can view the results of other institutes.
Renaissance and its allies are stagnating
Despite interventions in various media, participation in debates, and the promotion of Emmanuel Macron following the dissolution, the Renaissance party is falling behind the New Popular Front and the RN. According to Harris Interactive, the presidential majority would obtain 21% of voting intentions, an increase of 2 to 3 points compared to the beginning of the month. If these intentions were to turn into results, the party would save between 75 to 110 seats in the Chamber.
The union of the left at the front against the RN
The union of left-wing parties (LFI, PS, Les Ecologistes, etc.) with the creation of the New Popular Front is credited with 28% of voting intentions and announced as the second political group in number of seats in the National Assembly. But the NFP is almost 8 points behind the National Rally according to voting intentions based on the selected institute.
Some parties fail to stand out and gain points like Les Républicains, a party marked by Eric Ciotti’s support for the RN against the historic LR channel, and announced at 5% according to voting intentions, indicates Ifop-Fiducial.
