Donald Trump has said so many things, sometimes grotesque and exaggerated, that it is difficult to predict exactly what the next four years will bring.
Several analysts fear that it will be more radical, less erratic than during his first term.
One thing is certain, it will be complicated in Quebec. As Marie-Chantal Toupin sang, we can expect a damn mess!
Immigration
Donald promised from the first days a massive expulsion, the largest in the history of the United States, to fight against the invasion of hordes of migrants who are poisoning American blood.
In his first term, when he announced the Ban Muslimsthe inadmissibility of Arabs from certain countries, we saw a large number of them heading towards Canada. Roxham Road was born as a result of this announcement and Justin Trudeau’s invitation to come to Canada to all those fleeing persecution.
François Legault, rightly, fears seeing a massive arrival of migrants!
Economy
Our economy will also undergo upheaval! We are so dependent on this commercial relationship.
Potential tariffs of 10% on our products, such as aluminum, steel, milk, wood or aeronautics, will have major consequences on our industries.
In addition to slowing down our economy, there is a risk of seeing an exodus of SMEs, especially if President Trump lowers taxes on these large companies!
Especially since in recent days we have seen SMEs considering moving to the United States because of Ottawa’s measures on temporary workers.
We must also remember that we still risk finding ourselves caught in the crossfire of a US-China trade war.
Also, despite the climate crisis, Mr. Trump wants to eliminate subsidies for renewable energy and electric vehicles.
Will we have to review our entire strategy in the battery sector?
It will be difficult to be ambitious in a plan to fight climate change!
Finally, let’s not forget that we will review the free trade agreement with the Americans in 2026!
The wars
Beyond the trade war, the outcome of the real wars in the Middle East and Ukraine is now uncertain. He promised without saying how to put an end to it!
Will his unwavering support for his friend Benjamin Netanyahu in his war against Iran, Hamas and Hezbollah lead to an escalation of tensions or a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon?
In Ukraine, does ending the war in 24 hours mean ceding conquered territories to Russia?
Plate plate plate!
One thing is certain, after January 20, there will be a lot of uncertainty and unpredictability south of the border!
I don’t know about you, but as much as I love following American politics, I’m glad our Canadian politics aren’t as exciting or anxiety-inducing.
Sometimes it’s nice to be flat.
