Predicting the winner is like playing the lottery
Serge Jaumain has never seen such a small gap in the polls between two candidates. “The margin of error for polls is usually around 2 to 2.5%. Here, we are at 0.1%. We can’t predict anything. Saying that Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will win is like playing the lottery. Scientifically, it’s impossible to say with the information we have in hand.”
Three-quarters of Americans say democracy is in danger and one in two Americans believe there could be violence the day after the election. For his part, the ULB professor expects there to be protests. “We should not expect that we will no longer talk about the American elections after November 5 or 6. There will certainly be disputes,”he affirms.
“If Trump is elected, Europe will not be a bird for the cat”
“If Donald Trump loses, he will say the election is rigged”
Before continuing in detail: “On November 6, Donald Trump will declare himself the winner of the elections, whether he won or lost. And if he lost, he’ll probably say the election was rigged. His entire team is already prepared to contest the election. There are already hundreds of lawyers on the scene and legal proceedings have been attempted. Their teams have infiltrated the committees which will strip various key accounts. We are no longer dealing with the Donald Trump of 2016 who was surprised to have won. There is a team around him, a program and a strategy. They learned the lessons of 2020. There will be no more storming of the Capitol but there could be unrest in several states.”
Serge Jaumain then analyzed the differences and similarities between the two candidates. If they have certain common themes in substance, it is in the form that we can distinguish the two candidates in their desire to do things.
Analyzing Kamala Harris’ campaign, many observers wonder if she did not fall into Donald Trump’s trap by responding to his numerous attacks. According to the ULB professor, she managed to do it while remaining correct. “She had started a campaign of smiles and hope. And faced with Donald Trump’s strategy, she had to show that she was capable of responding to him, by putting herself on the same footing as him, but by being much more polite. She was always very correct in the words she used, even if she considered him a fascist.”
At the end of the interview, our guest analyzed the differences that there could be in terms of national and international politics if one or the other candidate won the race for the White House.
Relive the interview in full above.
