By deciding to dissolve the National Assembly on June 9, the President of the Republic, Emmanuel Macron, wanted a “return to the people”, after European elections that were not very favorable to his camp. There “democratic breathing” desired by the Head of State, did it take place, and above all, did it have the expected effects? Nothing is less certain, given the risk of censorship that the Prime Minister, Michel Barnier, runs when it comes to adopting the State finance bill and that of the financing of Social Security for 2025 .
The political crisis invoked by Emmanuel Macron to justify his dissolution has not been stopped. Worse, it seems even more acute than a year ago. This is one of the lessons from the twelfth wave of the “French Fractures” study, carried out by Ipsos for The Worldthe Jean Jaurès Foundation, the Sciences Po Political Research Center (Cevipof) and the Montaigne Institute, from November 14 to 21 with a panel of 3,000 people. “The cauldron is boiling”summarizes Brice Teinturier, the deputy general manager of Ipsos, who underlines a particular correlation, this year, between the “personal sphere and the political sphere”.
Personally, the mood is dark. Discontent remains massive, affecting more than one in two respondents, even if the feeling of belonging to a France “angry and very protesting” fell very slightly, to 43%, after several years of strong growth. Only 3% of French people surveyed say they “satisfied or appeased”and even among Renaissance supporters, who had 37% satisfied in 2021, only 10% are satisfied.
“Astonishment effect”
Brice Teinturier partly attributes this drop in satisfaction to the shock of the dissolution, but above all to the “discovery of the scale of the public deficit, which created an effect of astonishment, particularly among Macronist sympathizers”.
Concern about purchasing power (at the top of French people's concerns) reinforces the negative assessment of their situation: 70% of respondents consider that their living conditions are “less and less good » ; Only one in two French people surveyed are satisfied with the life they lead and the same proportion (55%) say they have difficulty “making ends meet”.
The French are gloomy, and their perception of the situation in the country is not likely to boost their morale. Declinism, stemmed since Emmanuel Macron's accession to power, has reached a record: 87% consider that the country is in decline – a jump of 18 points since the 2017 presidential election, which caused this indicator to fall.
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