Result of the 2024 legislative elections in Hérouville-Saint-Clair (14200) – 1st round [PUBLIE]

Result of the 2024 legislative elections in Hérouville-Saint-Clair (14200) – 1st round [PUBLIE]
Result of the 2024 legislative elections in Hérouville-Saint-Clair (14200) – 1st round [PUBLIE]

19:52 – In Hérouville-Saint-Clair, who will benefit from the votes of Nupes?

The distribution of left-wing votes is also to be watched closely during these legislative elections, with one unknown: the intentions of those who voted for the New Popular and Social Union (Nupes), which had made a breakthrough in the last legislative elections, but which no longer exists in the political landscape. The Popular Front, which is looking for a leader, should attract some of them. At the time of the European elections, Raphaël Glucksmann’s list rose to 20.74% in Hérouville-Saint-Clair. A score that should improve on June 30, since the new coalition can theoretically reach 48% this time, by adding the scores of Manon Aubry (LFI), Marie Toussaint (EELV) and Léon Deffontaine (PCF). During the first round of the legislative elections in 2022, in Hérouville-Saint-Clair, the Nupes duo also gathered 48.27% of the votes in the commune. A sum to finally be refined with the 45% of left-wing voters in the first round of the presidential election, i.e. the cumulative votes of Mélenchon-Roussel-Jadot-Hidalgo.

18:42 – How far can the National Rally go during the legislative elections in Hérouville-Saint-Clair?

Despite rapid and sometimes radical changes, there are conclusions to be drawn from all these figures. While across the country, polls show the National Rally progressing by nearly fifteen points in the 2024 legislative elections compared to its score in the previous legislative elections (which would theoretically propel Jordan Bardella’s party to 26% in the municipality), it should nevertheless be noted that the latter has clearly only gained 2 more points between the 2019 and 2024 European elections on site. The announced raid should therefore be more limited locally.

15:31 – The Hérouville-Saint-Clair particularity during the 2024 European elections

Another electoral meeting took place much more recently, the verdict of which is also to be observed closely. A real earthquake… Even if not all cities are affected in the same way. In Hérouville-Saint-Clair, the last European elections gave first place to Raphaël Glucksmann’s list, with 20.74% of the votes. It therefore won against Manon Aubry’s list with 20.45%. In third place was Jordan Bardella with 19.68%.

2:32 p.m. – Hérouville-Saint-Clair voted for Mélenchon in the first round of the presidential election

In the polling stations of Hérouville-Saint-Clair, Marine Le Pen was not in the majority in the first round of the election of the President of the Republic in 2022. With a meager 16.01%, the representative of the National Rally was distanced by Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Emmanuel Macron at 36.91% and 25.46% of the votes cast. The second round will leave the leader of the RN on the floor, Emmanuel Macron winning with 70.02% against 29.98% for Le Pen.

12:32 – Can the results of the last legislative election have any meaning for the 2024 election in Hérouville-Saint-Clair?

The number of voters gleaned by Jordan Bardella’s party this evening will be the major lesson for these local MP elections. During the legislative elections two years ago, the National Rally missed out in the first round in the town of Hérouville-Saint-Clair, grabbing 11.63% of the votes on site, against 48.27% for Arthur Delaporte (New Popular Ecological and Social Union). In the second round, the RN also failed, again leaving the local victory to the competitors stamped New Popular Ecological and Social Union (64.63% against 35.37% for the RN). Arthur Delaporte therefore maintained his lead on site.

11:02 – Hérouville-Saint-Clair: demography, elections and future prospects

In the city of Hérouville-Saint-Clair, various demographic and socio-economic factors are likely to influence the results of the legislative elections. The unemployment rate of 20.05% may have an effect on voters’ expectations regarding labor policies. With a working population of 44.35% and a population density of 2,110 inhabitants/km², will voter turnout be more dynamic? Income gaps, with an average monthly net salary of €1,989.77 per month, are often symptomatic of financial pressure on households. In addition, the presence of an immigrant population of 12.16% and a foreign population of 8.98% highlights issues of intercultural cohabitation. The student rate of 10.61% in Hérouville-Saint-Clair highlights the presence of a young and educated population, likely to foster an environment conducive to innovation and entrepreneurship.

09:32 – Participation rate in the latest legislative elections in Hérouville-Saint-Clair: trends

In Hérouville-Saint-Clair, one of the important factors of this legislative election will undoubtedly be the abstention rate. For the record, in the agglomeration, the abstention rate in the 2022 legislative elections represented 50.92% in the first round and only 51.03% in the second round. Can we predict abstention this year in Hérouville-Saint-Clair? Two years ago, for the first round of the presidential election, 24.87% of voters in the urban area avoided the polls, compared with an abstention of 27.63% in the second round. Campaigns to “block” the National Rally could potentially increase participation in Hérouville-Saint-Clair.

08:02 – Until what time to vote in Hérouville-Saint-Clair (14200)?

The 15 polling stations in the Hérouville-Saint-Clair agglomeration (from 01 Hotel de Ville to 15 Lebisey 2 Hall d’Entre) are open from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m. to allow citizens to decide. On this Sunday, it has only been three weeks since the voters of Hérouville-Saint-Clair exercised their right to vote in the European elections which resulted in the dissolution of the Legislative Assembly. During the previous legislative elections, in 2022, the New Ecological and Social Popular Union won 131 seats in the Assembly, while Marine Le Pen’s party won 89. Two rounds are organized to choose between the candidates of the different political coalitions in Hérouville-Saint-Clair (14200), as in the whole of France. Please note, to vote, do not forget your identity papers.

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