Michel Barnier is not far from feeling the wind. The prospect of being overturned by a motion of censure during the budget vote is becoming more and more pressing. Marine Le Pen and her lieutenants, pushed by their voters, are sending less and less subliminal messages. Reason why the Prime Minister will receive the leader of the nationalist party this Monday, November 25, as will all the presidents of parliamentary groups between now and Wednesday. A series of meetings in Matignon which highlights the obvious: if the National Rally, with its 124 deputies, remains a kingmaker, it is not the only one that must be taken into account to avoid censorship.
Feeling of revenge
The partners of the New Popular Front should table a motion when Michel Barnier brandishes 49.3 in the hemicycle in December. That day, the votes of the RN will count. But so do all those on the left. Because by adding the votes of the extreme right and its allies, Liot, as well as environmentalists, communists and rebels, we just arrive at the golden number, the 289 votes signifying the death of the government. The fact remains that we are not immune to an absence or a change of mood on the part of an MP. Particularly at Liot. This is where the PS group, with its 66 deputies, takes on all its importance.
But will the socialists dare to mix their voices with those of the RN? In Matignon, we do not want to believe in this perspective coming from a “government party”. Especially since within their troop, we find a former President of the Republic, François Hollande, who knows the weight of the expression “Guarantor of institutions”.
Except that Michel Barnier has plunged the socialists into black anger and the temptation to make him pay for it is great. “We understood that he wanted to work cooperatively. We are far from that,” summarizes Finistère MP Mélanie Thomin, one of the spokespersons for the PS group in the Assembly. The boss of the Socialists, Boris Vallaud, had nevertheless written to the Prime Minister, at the beginning of November, to try to pass at least ten amendments. In vain.
Hollande's opportunism?
Is the position of the PS tenable, even if it creates chaos? “The shutdown (as in the United States, Editor’s note) does not exist in France. There are ways to manage current affairs,” says a source close to the group. “The Socialist Party doesn't really have a choice. Voters can no longer stand the situation,” analyzes former Breton MP and Minister of Justice Jean-Jacques Urvoas.
Conversely, the former mayor of Quimper Bernard Poignant would see it as a betrayal of the Republican front in the legislative elections in July. “Agreeing to block the road to power for the RN through the ballot box but mixing your votes with it in the hemicycle is a snub to the voters who followed the instructions of this Front,” explains the former advisor to François Hollande at the Élysée, to whom he suggests gaining height. “I told him: “You exercise a parliamentary mandate but your position must remain presidential”. »
Will the former president listen to him? Probably not if censorship can open the way to a new presidential election, a good connoisseur of Corrézien wants to believe. “François Hollande has a position of cynicism. He thinks the past is fading away. We are in an opportunistic position. »
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