INTERVIEW – The truce between Israel and Hezbollah ends this Sunday. Since its entry into force, Lebanon has had a president and a prime minister. An “unblocking directly linked to the defeat of Hezbollah and the Iranian axis in the region,” according to the researcher.
Fabrice Balanche is a lecturer in geography at the University of Lyon-2. This Middle East specialist is the author of Lessons from the Syrian crisis (Odile Jacob, 2024).
LE FIGARO.- This Sunday ends the truce between Hezbollah and Israel. However, the Israeli army has announced that it will remain in South Lebanon beyond this date. What can we learn from these two months of ceasefire?
Fabrice BALANCHE. – The Lebanese army and the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) are deploying in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah has left, at least officially, the area. The fall of Bashar Al-Assad's regime in Syria showed Iran's major defeat in the region. Hezbollah cannot therefore afford to stay in South Lebanon, especially since it no longer benefits from Iranian military support. Staying would have been suicidal for the organization.
The election of Joseph Aoun as President of the Republic on January 9, after two years of vacancy, then the appointment of 
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