A historian who has accurately predicted the outcome of nine of the last 10 elections implored Democratic Party leaders Monday not to abandon President Joe Biden.
Last week, according to many observers, Biden delivered a tough performance against Donald Trump.
American University professor Allan Lichtman believes Democrats would be making a big mistake by dumping President Biden.
“Remember, all the pundits saw Hillary Clinton winning three debates in 2016,” he reminded CNN. “They all said Trump was done. They’re often wrong.” […] As for Biden’s abilities, I am not a neurologist and [les observateurs] are not neurologists. They are not qualified to comment on this.”
“I would just say that it’s much better to judge Biden on three-plus years of his presidency than on 90 minutes,” he added.
The professor’s prediction system has guessed the winner of every presidential election except one since 1984. It relies on 13 “White House keywords”: presidential and party tenure, competition, third party, long-term economy, short-term economy, policy change, social unrest, scandals, incumbent charisma, opponent charisma and foreign policy successes.
“A candidate from a major political party has “never been reelected in the face of an uncertain or contested nomination” since the 20th century,” Lichtman said.
