There is a limit to playing the fool. This is what it would be like to try to predict who will come out on top in the US presidential election. In all significant states, the polls are too close to draw a definitive conclusion. The question now is who wants this victory the most?
I described how I didn’t trust Kamala Harris’ campaign. She did not appear to me to be ready or sufficiently well-established to meet the expectations of the presidency of the United States. In any case, it did not succeed in reassuring the most skeptical.
She had the thankless, but obligatory, task of taking on the forty-five months she spent as vice-president of the unpopular Biden administration. Although we may say that all the economic indices point to a presidency that historians will judge positively, a majority of voters have had enough.
In this sense, despite his repeated calls to entrust power to “a new generation of leaders”, it is Donald Trump with his unpredictability and the continual excess of his remarks which embodies for many voters the change for which they have a desire. devouring desire.
DONALD TRUMP, CERTAINLY NOT BETTER
How many times have I noted the increasingly dark and angry tone of the former president’s speeches? “Unhinged”, as we say here: weird, to the point of becoming irrational.
It is a sign of the weakness of Kamala Harris’ candidacy or of the limited appeal of the Democratic program that Donald Trump, despite what ends up looking like delusion, can continue to interest not only the MAGA electorate already acquired, but new supporters among white men and young black and Latino voters.
The Republican candidate has developed a rather confusing strategy, if you can call it that: making the most shocking comments, exposing his worst ways. Her gut feeling has served him well in the past; he draws deep inspiration from it one last time.
He insults, he denigrates, he provokes. Kamala Harris is no longer just the “worst liar in history,” but a “crappy vice president.” He no longer simply repeats that his rival is “a person with a low IQ,” he insinuates, as in Greensboro, North Carolina, that she might have a drinking problem and abuse drugs. Each time, his supporters laugh and give him a standing ovation.
SHOCKED, MORE SHOCKED, EVEN MORE SHOCKED
The Democrats are scandalized, but their Republican opponent has managed to transform this fight for the White House into an escalation of indignation. When “garbage” becomes the central theme of the last week of the campaign, all respect will have evaporated.
After hours and hours of speeches, miles and miles traveled across the country, the outcome of this dark and vicious election is down to the excitement, fervor and commitment of voters on each side. .
This is what the avalanche of attacks and controversial comments during the last days of the campaign is for: to pique the voters, to motivate them, to enrage them even, so that no excuse distracts them from their duty to go vote.
And in this sense, the advantage, I give it to Kamala Harris, who saved the Democrats from their misery by replacing Joe Biden at short notice. Gallup tells us that the enthusiasm of Democratic voters exceeds that of Republicans by ten points. In fact, she is doing even better in this regard than Barack Obama in 2008.
A little excitement, a little more than the other camp, that’s what will make the difference this year. Let’s see if Democratic fever will be the more contagious of the two.
