DECRYPTION – Through this strategic ambiguity, the Lebanese Islamist movement wants to preserve its deterrent force against the Israeli army.
In Beirut (Lebanon)
“You should expect surprises“. It was with this warning that the Secretary General of Hezbollah addressed the Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, on the occasion of the anniversary of the liberation of southern Lebanon. This unilateral Israeli withdrawal, on May 25, 2000, after twenty-two years of occupation – Israel invaded South Lebanon in 1978 – remains to this day the main achievement of Hassan Nasrallah, who founded the legend of “Islamic resistance party.
Nearly half a century later, the scenario of a new Israeli invasion of southern Lebanon is on the table. The risk lies in an escalation of clashes between Hezbollah and Israel since the ally of Hamas and Tehran chose, after October 7, to open “a front of support” to the Palestinians. But also to a possible Israeli choice “to go” to unequivocally reestablish Israeli strategic superiority: “It would be better to wait, but we will have to do this…
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