In the middle of winter, the question of heating is more relevant than ever. As environmental and economic concerns push many households to explore greener alternatives, gas seems to be experiencing a surprising resurgence this season.
Why this strong comeback of an often criticized energy source? What factors influence this unexpected choice?
This article looks at the reasons behind this surprising trend and explores the implications for consumers and the environment. Dive into the analysis of this phenomenon which could well redefine our energy habits this winter.
Evolution of sales of heating systems in 2024
In 2024, the heating market experienced a notable upheaval with a marked drop in heat pump sales and a significant increase in gas boilers. This trend can be explained by several economic and behavioral factors.
The fall in gas prices, from €98/MWh in 2022 to around €45/MWh, has made gas boilers more financially attractive for consumers.
At the same time, the gradual ban on gas heating in new constructions has not yet slowed down this dynamic. Heat pumps, although more ecological, remain expensive, sometimes reaching 15,000 euroswhich discourages some potential buyers.
Economic and environmental impact of gas boilers
Gas boilers, although more affordable to purchase and install compared to heat pumps, pose a major environmental challenge. Their growing popularity in 2024, with a 15% increase in installations, explained by the drop in the price of gas.
However, this solution remains more polluting. In 2025, the cost of installing gas boilers is expected to increase due to the planned increase in VAT to 20%thus removing the current reduced rates.
This measure aims to encourage the adoption of greener heating systemsbut it could influence the choices of consumers sensitive to the initial budget rather than environmental concerns.
Future regulations and implications for the heating market
From 2025, the ban on gas heating will extend to collective housing, marking a major regulatory turning point. This measure aims to reduce the carbon footprint of new construction.
At the same time, the increase in VAT on gas boilers, rising to 20%, could slow down their economic attractiveness. This tax change, removing previous reduced rates, is designed to encourage consumers to turn to greener solutions such as heat pumps.
However, this transition could be slowed down by the high initial cost of these green alternatives, posing a challenge for budget-conscious households while seeking to adopt more sustainable practices.
