Oil prices fell slightly this Tuesday, December 3, in a context of uncertain markets. Investors are awaiting the results of the OPEC+ meeting to be held on December 5, with the issue of extending production cuts a central point of discussions.
Brent oil futures fell to $72.56 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell to $68.83. Oil market players are closely following the negotiations which will take place between the members of OPEC+ (the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia). The latter have already implemented a gradual reduction in their production in order to stabilize prices. According to analysts, OPEC+ is expected to extend this production reduction until the end of the first quarter of 2024. However, prospects of excess supply are starting to weigh on the market.
US monetary policy and its impact on oil prices
Concerns about US interest rates are also weighing on oil prices. Indeed, although there are signs that the Federal Reserve could lower rates again, the situation remains uncertain. Recent statements from Fed officials show a division within the institution, with some members favoring monetary easing and others advocating taking more into account employment data before deciding.
The geopolitical situation: a factor of volatility
Geopolitically, the situation in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and the militant group Hezbollah, continues to maintain some volatility. Although the ceasefire was implemented under the auspices of the United States, ongoing tensions, such as the recent strikes on Lebanon, could have an indirect impact on oil prices by affecting the stability of the producing region.
Thus, oil prices are currently in a waiting phase, with mixed signs influencing the market. OPEC+ plays a key role in determining prices, but external factors such as United States monetary policy and geopolitical tensions complicate the situation. The outcome of the December 5 meeting could determine the direction the market takes in the months to come. Investors and market participants are closely monitoring these developments, which could have repercussions on the global economy.
