Today is a decisive day at the National Assembly: the final vote on the Social Security budget is scheduled for this afternoon from 3 p.m., and all eyes are on Prime Minister Michel Barnier, who is expected to use article 49.3 of the Constitution to impose this text. Follow live this crucial session which could well seal the future of the government.
In the absence of a sufficient majority, Michel Barnier confirmed that he would use article 49.3 to have the Social Security financing bill adopted. This decision was expected, although two other scenarios have been mentioned in recent days to try to avoid this forced passage. However, in the face of persistent divisions and lack of parliamentary support, it seems that this option has become inevitable.
A persistent threat of censorship
The consequences of this choice promise to be serious for the government. The left-wing parties, united on this subject, have warned that they will immediately table a motion of censure. But the real suspense lies in the attitude of the National Rally (RN) deputies. For several days, intense negotiations have taken place between the government and the RN, which seemed ready to study the possibility of supporting the budget in exchange for concessions.
However, this Monday morning, Jordan Bardella confirmed the RN's decision to vote on the motion of censure. The party calls in particular for “ developments » on the question of pensions, thus placing the Prime Minister in a very delicate position. In the absence of an agreement, adding the votes of the RN to the votes of the left could be enough to overthrow the government.
Insufficient concessions
Despite last minute concessions on the part of Michel Barnier to try to rally the National Rally, this does not seem to be enough to defuse the crisis. The far-right party clarified that, barring a “miracle” this afternoon, the motion of censure would be tabled and voted on.
The government therefore seems to be on a tightrope, with little chance of surviving such a coalition against it. Discussions around pensions, in particular, remain at the heart of the demands and symbolize the impasse in which the different parties find themselves.
A high-tension afternoon to follow live
This afternoon promises to be full of twists and turns, as the debates continue under the watchful eye of the cameras and the French. The use of article 49.3 and the potential motion of censure will be decisive for the political future of Michel Barnier and his government.
Today's session represents a vivid illustration of the current fragility of power, and the outcome remains uncertain. Stay tuned to follow all the events at the National Assembly live: each minute could bring its share of surprises and major consequences for French political life.
