This article will present a great NHL betting strategy that you have probably never heard of before. Don’t miss it!
We have a quiet day in the NHL with only a few games taking place today. Let me present a pick on each match, okay?
: Canadian v. Utah HC
The first game features the Utah Hockey Club traveling to the Bell Center. In this match, my choice goes to the underdog at home: the Montreal Canadiens to win!
Montreal has won three of their last five games, and they are coming off a game where they showed a poor effort at home. They allowed five goals in a horrible second period against the Golden Knights. This is unacceptable. They will bounce back with more energy and passion tonight.
Meanwhile, Utah is off to a strong start to the season with a 4-1-1 record. However, since then they have gone 4-9-2.
The team has struggled more away from home, as evidenced by the fact that they have won just twice in their last 10 road outings.
Meanwhile, the Habs were much better in front of their crowd. Its home record is 5-5-1 compared to 2-6-1 as a visiting club. Big difference.
: Bruins c. Canucks
This match will give me the opportunity to share a secret betting angle that I discovered after taking a look at past data.
When a team fires its head coach during the regular season, many people argue that those teams tend to get a boost in subsequent games. But is it really true? Let’s take a look at the hard data to get a reasonable conclusion.
Let’s say you bet on teams making a coaching change for their next five games. If you had done this since 2012, you would have gone 51-45. Is it good or not? Obviously it depends on the odds of each bet, right?
Let’s say you would have placed a $100 bet on each game. By doing so, you would have made a total net profit of $625, which corresponds to a nice return on investment of +6.5%.
So, in other words, it seems like a good strategy to bet on teams with a coaching change for the next five games. We also tried betting on such teams for several days after the coach was fired, but the optimal strategy is to go with five.
Last Tuesday, the Bruins fired Jim Montgomery. They have played two games since then, and they won them. Following the coaching change strategy, I will go with Boston to win directly against Vancouver.
I know the Canucks have a spectacular 7-1 road record this year, but that’s not sustainable long term. The Canucks have lost in their last four visits to TD Garden, and I think that trend will continue tonight.
So, in summary, I bet that the Bruins will beat the Canucks and that the Canadian will cause an upset against Utah!
