COTidienne | Oilseeds – Fall in rapeseed and soybean prices against a backdrop of technical sales after increases in previous days

COTidienne | Oilseeds – Fall in rapeseed and soybean prices against a backdrop of technical sales after increases in previous days
COTidienne | Oilseeds – Fall in rapeseed and soybean prices against a backdrop of technical sales after increases in previous days

THE prix of rapeseed European countries fell slightly on Euronext between November 18 and 19, which had an impact on the French market. Profit taking occurred after the previous day’s increases. The nuclear threat drawn by Vladimir Poutine yesterday did not unduly worry the markets oilseeds.

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In South Americathe seedlings of military continue in good conditions Brazil and are now 80% complete, up 68% from last year, according to AgRural. The Abiove association is also planning a harvest record for soybeans in Brazil, at 167.7 Mt against 169 Mt according toUSDA. The market also expects announcements of trade agreements between Brazil and the Chine after the meeting planned between the presidents of each country this week. All this weighed on soybean prices on the CBOT and augurs a strong concurrence Brazilian over the coming months. To UNITED STATESthe harvest is now complete.

The quotes of canola Canadian in Winnipeg fell sharply, under the pressure of technical sales, the rise in Canadian dollar compared to the US dollar which penalizes the competitiveness of Canadian origin, and the decline in profit margins trituration. The market is awaiting the possibility of introduction of taxes Chinese goods on Canadian goods.

Only the prices ofoil of palms Malaysian progress in Kuala Lumpur. Technical purchases supported quotes after the latest price cuts. In addition, the passage ofIndonesia au B40 was confirmed for January 2025, which will bring additional pressure on supply. The Indonesian Ministry of Agriculture has also announced a possible review of export taxes local palm oil. In Malaysiathe Malaysian Palm Oil Bureau (MPOB) announced the increase in export taxes from 8% to 10% in December.

On the side ofEastern Europethe threat of an intensification of war between Russia and Ukraine has however guided the prices ofsunflower oil on the rise. Ukrainian export prices sunflower have also gained ground, due to lack of supply, according to Graintrade. On the other hand, the abundance ofglobal offer in cakes weighed on local prices in sunflower cake. In soybeans, the competitiveness of North and South American competition weighed on Ukrainian prices. In Hungary finally, the Ministry of Agriculture estimated the harvest of sunflower at 1.7 Mt, a drop of 4.5% compared to the five-year average.
Sunflower prices have not changed on the French physical market.

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Fundamentals:

  • Brazil, soy, production : 167,7 Mt (source :  Abiove) ;
  • Brazil, soybeans, seedlings : 80% of surface areas compared to 68% last year to date (source: AgRural).

European import as of November 17:
(source: European Commission)

in tonnes Cumulative 2024/25 S20 2024/25 Cumulative 2023/24 S20 2023/24
Rapeseed
(import)
2 336 693 70 532 2 019 007 92 372

French physical markets from November 19, 2024 (July base for cereals)

Sunflower Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
rendering oleic Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar inc.
Rendered Saint-Nazaire oleic Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 650,00 N 0,00
Rapeseed Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Rendering Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 541,00 N -2,00
Fob Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 543,00 N -2,00
Soybean meals Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Departure Montoir 48% pellets Brazil nov. 373,00 V 0,00
48% pellets Brazil dec. 371,00 V 1,00
Then Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Departure from forage Harvest 2024 Nov.-Dec. 296,50 N 0,00
Departure from /Oise forage Harvest 2024 Nov.-Dec. n.p.

Commercial quotes for dairy products from November 14, 2024

Milk powder Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
NBPL departure at 30 days 5% H BT bulk available. 2420,00 T
Whey powder Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
NBPL departure at 30 days, BILA pH 6 bulk available. 855,00 N

Evolution dollar / euro du 19 novembre 2024

Devise Closing value
1 dollar US 0,9454 euro
1 euro 1,0578 dollar

Chicago Futures Market Closes November 19, 2024

Raw materials Fence Chicago
Military 998,50 cents/wood.
Soybean meals 288,60 $/t
Soybean oil 44,84 cts/livre

Closing of the Euronext futures market on November 19, 2024

Colza (Euronext)
Echéance Fence
Feb. 2025 540,75
May 2025 533,00
August 2025 487,75
Volume 21090
Rapeseed oil (Euronext)
Echéance Fence
Mars 2023 698,50
June 2023 698,50
Sept. 2023 698,50
Volume 0
Rapeseed meal (Euronext)
Echéance Fence
Mars 2023 196,25
June 2023 196,25
Sept. 2023 196,25
Volume 0

International market quotes from November 19, 2024

Energy Echéance Closing value
Oil (Nymex) Jan. 2025 69,24 $
Ocean freight indices from November 19 Variation
Baltic Dry Index (BDI) 1627 -129,00
Baltic Panamax Index (BPI) 1171 -31,00
Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) 2808 -354,00
Baltic Supramax Index (BSI) 999 -10,00
Baltic Handysize Index (BHSI) 678 -3,00
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