Wilfried Devillers / Crédit photo : Antoni Lallican / Hans Lucas / Hans Lucas via AFP
11:14 a.m., November 7, 2024
After Donald Trump’s victory, what future for Ukraine? The Republican has taken a very different position from that of his predecessor, Joe Biden, on the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Enough to worry kyiv and other European capitals in the face of a potential cessation of American aid to support the front.
What will be the consequences of Donald Trump’s victory in the war in Ukraine? Throughout his campaign, the Republican repeatedly claimed he could end the conflict in 24 hours. Without explaining how or clearly speaking out in favor of a Ukrainian victory. But one thing is certain, the return of Donald Trump to the White House foreshadows an upheaval in the conflict.
Because Donald Trump’s multiple campaign statements on Ukraine suggest a future weakening of American support for kyiv in its fight against Russia. The billionaire continues to be very critical of the costly involvement of the United States in the conflict, more than 61 billion dollars. At the beginning of September, Donald Trump even claimed to have a very specific plan to end the war without explaining how he intended to go about it.
Create a demilitarized zone
“I think he would stop financing Ukraine militarily but also budgetarily,” predicts Nicolas Tenzer, professor at Sciences Po Paris, specialist in geostrategic issues. “And then he would now say to Zelensky: ‘You stop the fight and you cede a certain number of territories and we leave it there.’ And so, he would present himself as the guarantor, by creating a sort of very advantageous border freeze obviously for Russia”, he continues at the microphone of Europe 1.
According to Donald Trump’s vice-president, JD Vance, this would involve establishing a demilitarized zone in the regions occupied by Moscow, or nearly 19% of Ukrainian territory. kyiv should also renounce joining NATO and the European Union. Guarantees of neutrality demanded by Russia.