What impact will Trump’s return to the White House have on the Middle East crisis?

Hamas did not wait long after the announcement of the results of the US presidential election and the victory of Donald Trump in the US elections to announce a position that does not express satisfaction with the newcomer to the House Blanche, who had already made one of the most dangerous decisions of her previous mandate, namely, moving the American embassy to Jerusalem, in the context of her confirmation and recognition that Jerusalem is the capital of the Zionist entity .
Although Hamas considers that the position of the new American administration depends on its positions and its practical behavior towards the Palestinian people and their legitimate rights, it relies on a constant factor in the positions of all administrations successive Americans, “who have had negative positions on the Palestinian cause and have always been the greatest support of the Zionist occupation”.
The previous US administration took a biased path towards occupation and aggression by giving Zionist war criminals political and military cover to carry out the worst wars of extermination known in modern history, which established its role as a full partner in the murder of tens of thousands of our children, women and men.
Contrary to this position, that of Prime Minister Netanyahu stands out, since he published on the “X” network a message of congratulations to Trump, in which he describes Trump’s victory as a historic return: “Your historic return to White House gives US a fresh start and renews commitment to Israel-US grand alliance, reflecting Netanyahu’s sense that Trump’s victory would strengthen his bloody options and end what the administration of the Zionist entity considered the indecision of the Biden administration.
These positions expressed by both sides of the Gaza confrontation, in addition to the nature of Trump’s known positions on the Palestinian issue, Jerusalem, settlements, normalization and his overall perceptions of the Arab region and its relations with the entity Zionist and others, highlight the complexity of the situation after Trump’s re-election, and highlight many fears for the Palestinians and the axis of resistance that Trump will push the entity to rush further into the war of annihilation against the Palestinians and to provide material and political cover for the Netanyahu government to continue this aggressive war that has spread to Lebanon, Yemen and Iran, in addition to its sharp options with Iran as the was his previous mandate.
However, despite this, it is too early to judge Trump’s policies towards the region, since despite the clarity of his support for the Zionist entity, it is likely that Trump adopts policies and takes unexpected actions, especially that he is a business and economic man who tends more towards states of stability than states of confrontation and tension, which means that he will seek to stop the current war in Gaza and Lebanon and to hold a ceasefire agreement similar to the war in Ukraine, but its decision in any case will not be in favor of the Palestinian cause and Arab rights.
Politically, Trump’s previous term was marked by the signing of the Abraham Accords, which not only expanded the circle of normalization to other countries such as Morocco, Bahrain and the UAE, but also created a new model of comprehensive standardization that extends to the entire social, economic, cultural and academic fabric in standardization countries, horizontally and vertically.
Trump is expected to push again to activate the Abraham Accords and extend their reach to major countries such as Saudi Arabia, whose ability to withstand the pressure remains unclear. of Trump in the next step.
However, all these political estimates do not neglect a fundamental issue, namely that the changes in the reality of the region after the “Al-Aqsa flood”, where the American interior is no longer as enthusiastic about with regard to confrontation options and where there is remarkable discontent with Zionist crimes against the Palestinians, in addition to the marked division of the American interior which has not allowed Trump to go far in the policies of support for Netanyahu in the destruction of the living conditions of the Palestinians, in addition to the expected economic confrontation with China and the existing state of polarization, which may push for more regional blocs and the creation of new alliances, due to the crack in the international system, as well as the existence of potential risks. This forces the Trump administration to strive to promote agreements with countries in the Arab region in order to rally them to its camp.
These agreements cannot take place in light of continued Zionist aggression and its arrogant policies, because they risk making Arab regimes lose their strategic depth and exacerbating the fragility of their popular legitimacy, which will force Trump to seek a resolution of the region’s crises by any means.

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