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As the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, which began on October 1, 2023, enters a possible turning point, the Israeli army has withdrawn several brigades from southern Lebanon, according to the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth. This withdrawal follows progress in ceasefire negotiations, giving hope of an agreement within one to two weeks.
According to the daily, “officials involved in the negotiations believe that it is possible to reach an agreement within ten to fifteen days”, which led the army to readjust its military presence in southern Lebanon. The talks focus on a “side document” that would accompany the deal and guarantee Israel freedom of military action in southern Lebanon in the event the ceasefire maintenance mechanism fails.
Towards a de-escalation under conditions
Progress in ceasefire negotiations shows a willingness on both sides to consider de-escalation in border areas, although the situation remains tense. The condition included in the annex document to allow Israeli military actions in the event of a ceasefire violation indicates that Israel seeks to maintain room for maneuver to respond to security threats beyond the border.
Challenges for regional stability
This possible agreement, if finalized, could offer respite to civilians on both sides of the border after more than a month of intense hostilities. However, the terms of the negotiations also show the precautions taken by Israel to ensure its security, by maintaining an option of intervention in southern Lebanon in the event of a resumption of hostilities.
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