This was when the first edition of the evening papers came out well before the election results were known. Never mind: on November 2, 1948, relying on the ambient consensus in Washington as well as the latest polls, Arthur Sears Henning, correspondent and political analyst for the Chicago Daily Tribunewrote that early results indicated that Republican New York Governor Thomas Dewey would easily defeat Democratic President Harry Truman. Hence this headline Daily Tribune that Truman took great pleasure in brandishing the day after one of the greatest electoral surprises in American history, the theme of this blog’s third and final fundraising campaign in 2024.
Truman won 303 votes to 189 for Dewey and 39 for segregationist candidate Strom Thurmond. The race between Truman and Dewey was still closer than these numbers indicated. Indeed, if Dewey had won just under 1 percent more of the votes in California, Illinois, and Ohio, he would have won the election. And the erroneous headline of Daily Tribune would not have gone down in history.
It just goes to show that pollsters and experts have been wrong for a long time.
Which brings us to take stock of our current fundraising campaign. As indicated by the thermometer opposite, we had almost reached half of the objective set at the start of this third day, which is very encouraging. However, as this third day is often the slowest of the campaign, I encourage you all to defy this trend and make your contribution right now! And a big thank you to everyone who has already taken action.
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