The first results of the CIRA – Avangarde and CURS exit polls for the 2024 presidential elections, round 1, recorded at 21:00 with data collected until 19:00, have appeared. The results of the exit polls show Marcel Ciolacu as the winner, while the fight for the final in the 2nd round is between Elena Lasconi and Călin Georgescu.
Ciolacu’s reaction
UPDATE 21:12 Marcel Ciolacu, the candidate who obtained the most votes in the first round of the presidential elections according to the exit polls published by Digi24, thanked the Romanians who gave him “confidence”.
The PSD candidate claims that he will negotiate with those who did not enter the second round to take over “all the good proposals” from their country projects.
See the full statement here
THE INITIAL NEWS
CIRA – Avangarde exit poll results
Marcel Ciolacu, PSD candidate – 25%
Elena Lasconi, USR candidate – 18%
George Simion, AUR candidate – 15%
Nicolae Ciucă, PNL candidate – 14%
Călin Georgescu, independent candidate – 16%
Mircea Geoană – independent candidate – 5%
Hunor Kelemen, UDMR candidate – 4%
Cristian Diaconescu, independent candidate – 2%
COURSE exit-poll results
The CURS exit poll shows a close fight for the final with Marcel Ciolacu in the 2nd round between Elena Lasconi and Călin Georgescu.
Marcel Ciolacu, PSD candidate – 25%
Elena Lasconi, USR candidate – 18.10%
Călin Georgescu, independent candidate – 16%
George Simion, AUR candidate – 14.10%
Nicolae Ciucă, PNL candidate – 13%
Hunor Kelemen, UDMR candidate – 4.6%
Mircea Geoană – independent candidate – 5.5%
For the 2024 presidential elections, the Central Electoral Bureau accredited four polling institutions: the Urban and Regional Sociology Center – CURS, the AVANGARDE Socio-Behavioral Studies Group, The Center for International Research and Analyzes and ARA Public Opinion SRL.
The official communication of the results will be made by the Central Electoral Office
What the last polls showed before the election
Two days before the presidential elections, three polls showed different results regarding the candidates with chances to enter the second round against Marcel Ciolacu.
On the last day of the election campaign, a Verifield survey commissioned by USR indicated equality between George Simion and Elena Lasconi, while another, conducted by The Center for International Research and Analyzes (CIRA), showed that Simion is in second place.
And an AtlasIntel survey, cited by Hotnews, still showed a close fight for qualification in the 2nd round, but this time Elena Lasconi had a small lead.
The Verifield survey
Marcel Ciolacu – 24.5%
George Simion – 19%
Elena Lasconi – 19%
Călin Georgescu – 10.6%
Nicolae Ciucă – 8.6%
Mircea Geoană – 7.9%
The data were collected between November 20 and 21, 2024, by the CATI method (telephone interviews), on a sample of 1803 people, representative of the socio-demographic variables. The margin of error of the data is ± 2.31%, at a confidence level of 95%.
Survey conducted by CIRA
Marcel Ciolacu – 26%
George Simion – 16.8%
Nicolae Ciucă – 16.3%
Elena Lasconi – 13.8%
Mircea Geoană – 7.8%
Călin Georgescu – 6.8%
AtlasIntel survey
Marcel Ciolacu – 23.7%
Elena Lasconi – 17.8%
George Simion – 16.9%
Nicolae Ciucă – 14.3%
Călin Georgescu – 8.1%
Mircea Geoană – 6.9%
The AtlasIntel survey was conducted between November 20-22, on a sample of 1,692 respondents.
Editor : C.L.B.
