2 nations ahead of France, Belgium far behind: who are the favorites for Euro 2024?

2 nations ahead of France, Belgium far behind: who are the favorites for Euro 2024?
2 nations ahead of France, Belgium far behind: who are the favorites for Euro 2024?

It’s difficult to imagine France, and England to a lesser extent, not lifting the Euro trophy on July 14, as their squad seems to dominate any selection. According to the CIES Football Observatory, two other nations rank ahead of the two favorites for the final coronation.

To clarify this ranking, the CIES is based on the competitiveness of the squad, calculated “from an index weighting the minutes played by those selected in the last year by the sporting level of their matches”. According to these rules, Germany (82.9/100) and Spain (82.4/100) would be favorites. The host country and the double European champion in 2008 and 2012 have the weapons to fight until the end of the competition.

If the Nationalmannschaft did not show its best face during the last preparation matches (difficult victory against Greece, and draw against Ukraine), this is not the case for Spain. La Roja has just easily defeated Northern Ireland 5-1, and has scored 25 goals in its qualifying campaign for the Euro. Only France and Portugal did better.

Behind, we find the two indestructibles, France (82.2/100) and England (81.1/100). And with three finals played in the last four competitions, Kylian Mbappé’s gang is approaching this Euro – at least on paper – in the legitimate position of favorite. Ditto for his best English enemy, whose squad seems as young as it is talented.

And Belgium?

It’s difficult to know where this young Belgian generation can go. The squad is in transition, but the talent is there. If we refer to the CIES ranking, the Devils’ journey would end in the quarter-finals, making us the eighth team in the ranking of favorites (78.2). In between are Portugal, the Netherlands and Italy.

Thorgan Hazard is behind the Red Devils: “There is a way to do something… against”

Only the reality on the ground counts, and the first elements of response will already take place this Friday, for the opening match between Germany and Scotland.

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