The semi -final return PSG – Arsenal is played on Wednesday evening (9 p.m.) at the Parc des Princes, a match that will send one of the two teams in the final. Before this very uncertain return match, here is our analysis of the ratings of the PSG – Arsenal match offered by Parons Sport online.
After a first leg dominated by the Parisians on the London lawn in the game as in the score (1-0), this PSG-Arsenal in the return semi-finals is always uncertain. Because the Gunners do not intend to present themselves as a victim to the Parc des Princes, affirming who wants to hear it that they will do it, and especially because a place in the Champions League final is at stake, a rare moment in a career.
Favorite PSG for the match and qualification
Given the scoring to go and receiving in the return match, the bookmakers are quite unanimous and the prognosis for PSG-Arsenal is in favor of Paris: PSG is favorite both for the match and even more for qualification in the next round. In terms of dimensions at Parions Sport online N ° 1 on the ratings of Paris Saint-Germain*, the qualification is only 1.17 when that of Arsenal is at 4.35!
But this return match is not as one way as some can imagine. Because if PSG is favorite at home, the rating of a victory (in 90 ‘) remains high since at 2.10, arsenal being at 3.35 and the draw at 3.65. Overall, they are ratings that approach those of the first leg, but at the time in favor of Arsenal. At the time, Paris was already slightly favorite of the double confrontation, a more confirmed status since.
A return match as hard to plan as the first leg
The keyword around this return match remains uncertainty, especially because the two teams found it difficult to decide on, with a single scored goal and very frank opportunities on both sides. This is necessarily felt in the additional, interesting dimensions. The rating of the two teams that mark has dropped, found for this return to 1.45, but it is especially that of the two teams that do not mark that is interesting at 2.10.
As a reminder, Arsenal has difficulty finding the net of the nets, and the absence of Havertz will not help, but defends very well while Paris is very irregular in front of the goal. In C1 this season, practically all the biggest matches of PSG ended with a single team that marks: the two against Arsenal (0-2, 1-0), the two against Liverpool (1-0, 0-1) or that in Munich (1-0). The matches very rich in goals against Aston Villa are actually rather the exception.
The PSG generates in the end in the end of little goals in the big matches and an interesting rating is possibly hidden behind this analysis: the victory of PSG coupled with the fact that there will be less than 2.5 goals in the match is found at a good dimension of 5.10 while the same in version less than 3.5 goals is at 2.85. PSG that wins and the two teams that do not mark is also to follow at 3.50, the same with the two teams that score being at 3.20.
Our prognosis for PSG-Arsenal: Victory of Paris Saint-Germain and the two teams do not mark (listed 3.50 on online sports bets)
Kvara, the man to follow?
On the outward journey, it was necessarily Ousmane Dembélé who was the player to follow by scoring the only goal of the game but he is uncertain for the return match. In attack, Kvara had been a decisive passer and he had strongly suffered Jurriën Timber. The Dutchman is touched and uncertain for the return, his replacement Ben White is far from his best level, and the Georgian therefore has all the more cards in hand to be the man of the return match.
The rating of a goal from Kvara is 2.30, the weakest of the two teams tied with Dembélé, but you have to go and look on the side of the slightly alternative dimensions to find something more crisp. The PSG which wins and Kvara which scores is at 3.35, which is interesting but perhaps a little less than the rating of a decisive passer kvara as in the first leg that we find at 3.60!
If this PSG/Arsenal could make you lose your mind, and even more once the match is launched, we remind you of always playing reasonably, by not betting money that you cannot afford to lose to start. By definition, a bet is not certain.
*Online sports betting ratings of 05/05/2025 likely to evolve
*Study by Nielsen Sports on the dimensions (bet [1N2]) PSG from 1/12/21 to 27/1/25 (119 games -4 readings per game: H -24; -12; -6; -30mn) with online parionssport, Winamax, Betclic, Unibet, Netbet.)
