could France be affected in the coming days?

Just a few days ago, models predicted the presence of a cold drop swirling over Spain for several days, with fears of further massive stormy rains affecting several communities. The latest forecasts for this evening, however, are a little more optimistic, with a faster than expected movement of this cold drop off the coast of Portugal.

This cold drop, which will nevertheless cause heavy stormy rains in several Spanish communities in the coming days, could it also influence France? Should we fear flooding on the French side? How will the weather forecast evolve until the end of the week? What will your weekend look like? Find our latest forecasts in this article.

Very heavy rains in Spain!

The cold drop, which will slide towards Spain then head towards Portugal, will still cause sometimes sustained rain over the next few hours. Several communities have also been placed on orange alert by AEMET, the Spanish meteorological institute.

As shown in the map above, precipitation should largely spare France, because this cold drop will quickly slide towards the south of the Iberian Peninsula. However, some precipitation is still expected in Roussillon this Wednesday.

Significant accumulations of rain

This cold drop on Spain will still cause intense rain. Unfortunately, This precipitation will affect communities already hit by the violent weather two weeks ago. The Valencian community could also be affected by heavy rainstorms. The Mediterranean Sea, still abnormally warm in mid-November, could provide humidity for storms in the coming hours.

The pink areas on the map above indicate potentially significant rainfall accumulations, highlighting the regions likely to be most affected by intense rainfall.

Just in the next few hours, cumulative rainfall could already locally exceed 100 to 120 liters of water per square meter in the space of only a dozen hours, according to AEMET.

And in France?

Fortunately, the latest forecasts are rather optimistic for France. Indeed, we should largely stay away from the influence of this cold drop, which should quickly fill up off the coast of Portugal.

Between Thursday and Sunday, Therefore, generally dry weather is expected in France.

However, some light rain could affect Languedoc during the weekend. A low activity disturbance is also expected to bring some rain on Sunday to the northwestern regions, between Brittany, Normandy, Île-de-France and Hauts-de-France.