1X2 prediction: which team to bet on?
Borussia Dortmund wins the match
1. The probability of success: The statistics give Borussia Dortmund a probability of success of 64.65% to win the match, compared to 19.19% for Holstein Kiel. This indicator shows that Borussia Dortmund has a greater chance of winning.
2. Recent away performance: Borussia Dortmund showed a good performance in their last away matches, winning on two occasions and drawing on two others, compared to Holstein Kiel who only won only two of their last five home games.
3. Defensive ability: Despite scoring the same average number of goals per game as Holstein Kiel, Borussia Dortmund has a better defense. Borussia Dortmund’s defensive potential is 64% compared to Holstein Kiel’s 79%, which reflects a better defensive performance from Borussia Dortmund.
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Over/Under 2.5: that even?
More than 2.5 goals in the match
1. The average number of goals scored in the last matches at home by Holstein Kiel and away by Borussia Dortmund is over 2.5 goals (1.8 goals per match for both sides).
2. The offensive potential of the two teams exceeds 60%, indicating that they can demonstrate strong goal-scoring ability.
3. The calculated probability of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match is 57.58%, which is higher than the probability of there being less than 2.5 goals in the match.
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BTTS: Will both teams score?
Both teams score: Yes
1. Offensive and defensive potential: Both teams, whether Holstein Kiel at home or Borussia Dortmund on the road, display significantly similar offensive and defensive potential. They score on average 1.8 goals per match and concede 2.2 and 1.8 goals per match respectively. This high potential on offense and defense reinforces the idea that both teams can score during the match.
2. History of goals scored / conceded: Looking at the last 5 matches of each team, Holstein Kiel has scored at least 1 goal in 2 of the last 5 home matches and Borussia Dortmund has done the same in 4 of their last 5 matches at home. the exterior. Additionally, Dortmund have conceded at least one goal in 3 of these 5 away games, while Kiel have conceded at least one goal in 4 of these last 5 home games. This suggests a relatively high probability of both teams scoring in their matchup.
3. Betting Probability: The sports betting market attributes to the possibility of both teams scoring a probability of 51.01% with odds of 1.53, slightly higher than the “Both teams not to score” bet which is 48.99% with odds of 1.53. rating of 2.30. This higher probability reinforces the idea that both teams will score during the match.
Which bet offers an attractive value bet?
Draw or Holstein Kiel wins the match – 2.65
1. Holstein Kiel Home Performance: In their last 5 home matches, Holstein Kiel has not lost, winning 40% of the time and drawing 60% of the time. Furthermore, even if they conceded more goals (8) than they scored (6), they demonstrated an ability to resist the opposing offensive.
2. Borussia Dortmund’s away performance: In their last 5 away matches, Borussia Dortmund have only won 40% of the time and drawn 20% of the time, showing weaknesses on the road. In addition, they have conceded more goals (9) than they have scored (8).
3. Offensive and defensive potential: At home, Holstein Kiel has an offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of 79% compared to Borussia Dortmund’s away offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of only 64%. This indicates that Holstein Kiel might be able to withstand Dortmund’s attack and still score goals.
Betting on the correct score
Holstein Kiel 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
1. Borussia Dortmund performance: Borussia Dortmund have won 40% of their last 5 away matches with an average of 1.8 goals per match. The statistics give an advantage for Borussia Dortmund to win the match with a probability of 64.65%.
2. Offensive and Defensive Record: Holstein Kiel averages 1.8 goals scored per home game and concedes an average of 2.2 goals per game, indicating a weak defense. On the other hand, Borussia Dortmund has the same offensive average (1.8 goals per match) but a better defense with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per away match.
3. Recent History: Analysis of recent matches shows that Borussia Dortmund have scored at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches. Holstein Kiel have failed to keep a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5 home matches, leading to a logical score prediction of 1-2 for the upcoming match.
Analysis and key facts of the match
The shape of the teams
Holstein Kiel has a mixed record at home, with 40% wins and 60% draws. His offensive results are correct with 6 goals scored, but the defense leaves something to be desired with 8 goals conceded.
Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, performs similarly, with 40% away wins and 20% draws. The team scored 8 goals and conceded 9.
On average, Holstein Kiel scores 1.8 goals per home game and concedes 2.2, meaning an offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of 79%. Dortmund also score and concede on average 1.8 away goals, with an offensive and defensive potential of 64%.
According to the odds, the odds of victory favor Dortmund with 64.65% probability, compared to 19.19% for Holstein Kiel. The draw has a probability of 16.16%.
In terms of goals, there is a 78.79% chance of having more than 1.5 goals and 57.58% for more than 2.5 goals. Both teams have a 51.01% chance to score.
Regarding the previous matches, Holstein Kiel won 5-1 against Augsburg but lost against RB Leipzig and Mainz. As for Dortmund, they won against Wolfsburg and Dinamo Zagreb but drew against Mönchengladbach.
In summary, Dortmund are favorites but the match promises to be close. The “More than 2.5 goals” option seems to be an interesting bet.
The number of potential goals
Holstein Kiel is in difficulty at home. Over the last 5 matches, they have scored 6 goals and conceded 8. Their offensive potential is 64%, but defensive is only 79%.
Dortmund, on the other hand, performed averagely away from home. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 9 in the last 5 matches. With an offensive and defensive potential of 64%, they are holding their own.
Kiel has only a 19.19% chance of winning, compared to 64.65% for Dortmund. The probability of a draw is 16.16%.
Let’s look at the goals. Over 1.5 goals have a 78.79% chance of falling, and the rate drops to 57.58% for over 2.5 goals.
Both teams have almost a 50% chance of scoring.
Analyzing the last matches, Kiel lost heavily three times. Dortmund managed to win twice and draw twice.
According to this data, Dortmund looks well placed to win this match, probably by over 2.5 goals in total. However, the weak defenses also suggest that either team could score.
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Our conclusions and prediction for this match
To conclude, this match seems to tilt in favor of Borussia Dortmund, with a winning probability of 64.65%. However, given the recent performances of both teams, the “Both teams to score” option with a probability of 51.01% seems to be a viable bet. On the other hand, the total number of goals in the match could well exceed 2.5 considering the offensive statistics of both teams.
The tricky bet here is ‘Draw or Holstein Kiel win’, given their recent home performances. Although Borussia Dortmund appear to be the obvious favorites, their inconsistent away performances could leave room for a heroic performance from Holstein Kiel.
All in all, the safest bet would be to count on Borussia Dortmund for a win, however, those looking for a higher value can consider the ‘Holstein Kiel or draw’ option. Additionally, the “over 2.5 goals” bet appears to be an attractive choice, with both the offense and defense of both teams being taken into account. For fans of exact score betting, the prediction suggests a 1-2 in favor of Borussia Dortmund.
However, as always in sports betting, nothing is ever guaranteed and it is crucial to bet responsibly, keeping in mind that these are predictions, not certainties.
