Prix ​​de Bourgogne Q5: What the past reveals

Prix ​​de Bourgogne Q5: What the past reveals
Prix ​​de Bourgogne Q5: What the past reveals

This Sunday, December 29, the first 4 of the Prix de Bourgogne will obtain the right to participate in the Prix d’Amérique. Less than a month before the flagship event of the - winter meeting, the tension will rise a notch during this speed tournament (2,100 meters, autostart) . Who are the specialists in this Qualification? What is the typical profile of the trotter capable of performing in this Group II? Answers here.

THE PROFILE OF THE TROTTERERS WHO PERFORMED IN THIS QUALIFY

Gender:
Males, logically
Males have won 12 of the last 15 editions of this race. It is true that the females often present themselves in a clear numerical inferiority at the start of the Prix de Bourgogne. This will be the case this year (3 females against 15 males).
It should be noted, however, that the last 6 podiums in this Qualif were made up of at least one female who posted more than 900,000 euros in winnings. EMERAUDE DE BAIS will be the only candidate matching this profile on Sunday.

Business card:
The Prix d’Amérique and the Prix de in the retro
The winners of the Prix de Bourgogne often have solid references and, in recent years, the majority of them had previously distinguished themselves in the Finals America Races. We have observed that since 2012:
– 9 of the last 13 winners of the Prix de Bourgogne had finished in the first 4 of a Prix d’Amérique (one year, two years or even 3 years earlier) (1).
– 61.5% of the winners of the Prix de Bourgogne had finished in the top 2 of the Prix de France the previous winter (8/13).
In the running this Sunday, two trotters meet these two criteria: IDAO DE TILLARD et Go On Boy.

Reference course:
Qualif#2, an excellent launching pad
The key to America Races Qualif#5 is often found in America Races Qualif#2. A figure attests to this: Since 2012, 85% of the winners of the Prix de Bourgogne Q5 had finished in the top 6 of the Prix du Bourbonnais Q2 a month earlier (11/13) (1). Present at the start this Sunday, JOSH POWER, EMERAUDE DE BAISHokkaido Jiel, DON FANUCCI ZET et TO D’HERIPRE check this box.
Furthermore, starting his America Races campaign in the Prix du Bourbonnais Q2 is rather a good idea in view of the Prix de Bourgogne Q5. Since the winter of 2012-2013, 67% of Prix de Bourgogne winners had competed in Qualif#2 (Prix du Bourbonnais) after skipping Qualif#1 (Prix de Bretagne) (8/12).
GU D’HERIPRE (already cited above) but also Dimitri Ferm, IDAO DE TILLARD and Oracle Tile have this feature.

Gains :
Millionaires first?
A priori yes. 11 of the last 15 winners of this Group II were among the 5 richest horses of the edition in which they participated.

IDAO DE TILLARD, GO ON BOY, DON FANUCCI ZET, EMERAUDE DE BAIS et HOKKAIDO JIEL check this “bank account” box here.

Foreign trotters:
Barefoot, preferably
Since 2010, only two “visitors” have managed to win in this Group II: Cokstile and Solvato. However, foreign trotters are currently having quite good success in this Qualification. There are 8 on the last 6 podiums of the Prix de Bourgogne. These 8 trotters were all barefoot on this occasion….Which will be the case on Sunday DON FANUCCI ZETMister Hercules, and also protégés of Alessandro Gocciadoro: BENGURION JET et Always Ek.

Last performance:
Minimum form required
Since the winter of 2018-2019, 89% of horses appearing on the Prix de Bourgogne podium had finished in the top 7 during their last outing on the track (16/18). This Sunday, many starters meet this minimum fitness condition. This is not the caseIDAO DE TILLARDwho will try to reassure his many supporters.

Starting grid:
3 privileged numbers and a curiosity
It’s not really a surprise. 13 of the last 15 winners of the Prix de Bourgogne started on the front row behind the autostart (numbers going from 1 to 9).
Over the last 15 years, horses with numbers 3, 5 and 6 are those who have recorded the most podiums in this race. EMERAUDE DE BAIS (3), GO ON BOY (5) et IDAO DE TILLARD (6) therefore seem well placed behind the autostart this Sunday.
The prize goes to n°3 who has 5 victories here, but also 57% success in the first 3 in the Prix de Bourgogne since 2010 (8/14).
Curiosity. Over this same period, the trotter associated with No. 4 only managed to climb onto the podium in this race once. Sunday, TO D’HERIPRE will attempt to correct this anomaly.

2024 BURGUNDY PRICES: THEY CHICK SEVERAL BOXES

Benefiting from several favorable indicators (sex, earnings and business card in particular), GO ON BOY has the profile to play a leading role when it enters the competition in the America Races 2024-2025. IDAO DE TILLARD ticks several boxes too, but its form is open to question.
We will also note the arguments of the representatives of the Prix du Bourbonnais Q2 line, in particular of DON FANUCCI ZET, EMERAUDE DE BAIS et TO D’HERIPRE.
Or even DIMITRI FERM et HOKKAIDO JIEL which will however have the disadvantage of rushing outside the aforementioned horses.

FROM Q5 TO AMERICA RACE FINALS

Is the Prix du Bourgogne a good springboard for the Americas Race Finals? Yes, and even clearly yes. Since 2008, the winners of this Qualification have won a total of 11 America Race Finals during the same winter, including 5 Prix d’Amérique.
From the Prix de Bourgogne to the Prix d’Amérique
Since 2008,
The 5 victorious Prix de Bourgogne-Prix d’Amérique doubles achieved during the same winter:

2021 : Face Time Bourbon

2017 : Bold Eagle

2012 : READY CASH

2011 : READY CASH
2009: Meaulnes Du Corta

Good to know about the Prix de Bourgogne-Prix d’Amérique connection:
Since 2009:
The winner of the Prix de Bourgogne displays a 53% success rate in the first two when he competes in the Prix d’Amérique a few weeks later (8/15)

From the Prix de Bourgogne to the Prix de France
Since 2008,
The 4 victorious Prix de Bourgogne-Prix de France doubles achieved during the same winter:

2017 : BOLD EAGLE

2013 : READY CASH

2011 : READY CASH

2009 : MEAULNES DU CORTA

Good to know about the Prix de Bourgogne-Prix de France connection:
Since 2008,
59% of Prix de France winners had finished in the top 3 of the Prix de Bourgogne a few weeks earlier (10/17).

From the Prix de Bourgogne to the Prix de Paris:
Since 2008,
The two victorious Prix de Bourgogne-Prix de Paris doubles achieved during the same winter:

2017 : BOLD EAGLE

2013 : READY CASH

(1) We take into account in our calculations the victory of Bold Eagle in the 2018 Prix de Bourgogne, obtained on the green carpet.

Swiss

-

-

PREV can you play the American lottery, which involves $1.15 billion?
NEXT big winners of American lotteries talk about their experience