The growing threat of a motion of censure hangs over Prime Minister Michel Barnier, while the government plans to adopt the budget via the controversial article 49.3. This provision, which allows the adoption of a law without a vote, exposes the executive to motions of censure which could cause it to be overthrown.
Guest of the 8 p.m. news on TF1, Michel Barnier warned that there would be “serious turbulence on the financial markets” in the event of the fall of his government. His speech, somewhat alarmist, remains vague on the concessions he would be prepared to make to ease tensions with the opposition. In particular, on key subjects such as the deindexation of pensions from inflation: “On this, Michel Barnier seems not to want to move, however, this is one of the red lines set by Marine Le Pen“, recalls Olivier Bost, head of RTL’s political department.
The Prime Minister chose to address the public directly in an attempt to draw witnesses, seeking to create popular pressure on MPs to avoid censorship. A strategy that can fail. “I think that until the end, there will be suspense,” believes Olivier Bost.
The relationship between Michel Barnier and Emmanuel Macron
According to rumors reported by The Parisian and denied by the Élysée, Macron would have expressed doubts about the survival of his government. This lack of confidence would illustrate a lack of trust between the Prime Minister and the President of the Republic. “Until then, Emmanuel Macron really kept his distance from the government. He considers that it is not his government. He even criticized it when it was formed,” explains Olivier Bost. “This sentence is very embarrassing because this means that Emmanuel Macron is meddling in what is happening at Matignon and he definitely does not want to do it“, he adds.
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