It's an unprecedented duel in this new Champions League, between FC Barcelona in search of consistency and a Stade Brestois which surprises all of Europe. But what do the bookmakers think? Their verdict seems to lean clearly in favor of the Catalan club, despite the great Breton dynamic.
With odds of 1.12 for a victory, Barça is seen as much superior in this clash. Opposite, a Brest away success rises to 13.00, while the draw is evaluated at 7.50, underlining the scale of the task for Éric Roy's men.
Towards a new Brest feat? The bookmakers don't believe it
If the most plausible scenarios are to be believed, the Catalans should win comfortably, but without extravagance. The most expected correct score is a 2-0 for Barcelona, listed at 5.40, followed closely by a 3-0 at 5.60. A 1-0, a sign of a more competitive match, is also possible with odds of 7.00. On the other hand, a Brest feat, such as a 0-1 or 1-2 victory, remains a much more improbable hypothesis, with respective odds of 11.00 and 26.00. And for thrill seekers, a daring 3-3 would be rewarded with astronomical odds of 67.00.
Expected scorers: on the Catalan side, Robert Lewandowski leads the way with an odds of 1.55 to find the net, followed by Raphinha (1.95) and Ansu Fati (2.30). Among young talents, Lamine Yamal (2.40) and Fermin Lopez (2.45) could also shine. For Brest, Ludovic Ajorque (6.00) and Mama Baldé (6.30) embody the main offensive threats, while Romain Del Castillo (6.70) or Kamory Doumbia (8.20) could surprise.
If the statistics announce an almost inevitable Barcelona victory, Stade Brestois, with its current 4th place, could play its role of underdog to the fullest. It remains to be seen whether the logic will be respected, or whether Brest will continue to defy the predictions in this Champions League like no other.