The authorization to use long-range missiles against Russian territory seems to open a new chapter in a war which has already lasted 1000 days. Until now, Ukraine was forced to limit the use of these weapons to its own territory, in a purely defensive framework. Now, the specter of violence extending beyond Russia’s borders looms over the conflict. However, this decision could also be a deterrent statement, and not a major strategic change. Directly targeting Russian populations could prove to be a strategic error with serious consequences.
If Ukraine were to strike Russian soil, an escalation of violence, or even global conflict, could become a reality – a threat that Vladimir Putin did not fail to highlight in his latest speech. The Russian president has threatened world war in response to the United States, a statement likely to sow unrest within the European Union. Some member states may prefer to distance themselves from direct conflict with Russia to protect their national interests. In this context, the next G20 summit could place international issues at the forefront, relegating climate priorities to second place.
The American position, on the eve of Donald Trump’s inauguration, remains uncertain, which is bound to destabilize the international community.
Swiss
