Our football prediction expert gives you his best bets for Croatia Portugal, counting for the 6th day of the Nations League, this Monday.
Croatia Portugal prediction: bets, context and line-ups
Best bets for Croatia Portugal
- Draw ⭐ with odds of @3.25 on Unibet, i.e. a probability of 30% that the two selections share the points.
- Rafael Leao scorer ⭐ with odds of @4.60 on Unibet, indicating a probability of 21% that the Portuguese striker finds the net.
- Both teams score ⭐ with odds of @1.65 on Unibet, representing a probability of 60% that both nations score at least one goal.
A 1-1 draw seems to be the most likely scenario.
Odds are provided by Unibet at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Our analysis: the state of form of the two teams
Croatia host Portugal on Monday evening, with the visitors potentially needing a point to secure qualification from Nations League Group 1.
Croatia have seven points from five matches, while Poland and Scotland have four. Our Croatia vs Portugal predictions show that a victory for either team could allow the other to overtake Croatia into second place.
Although Croatia lost 1-0 to Scotland at Hampden Park last week, they remain unbeaten at home, and one point will be enough to secure their qualification.
Portugal come into this match on the back of an impressive 5-1 victory over Poland, who also remain unbeaten away from home in Group 1, making the task a little more difficult for Croatia. Cristiano Ronaldo, author of a double in this crushing victory, continues to amaze while many wonder when he will end his career.
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Probable squad numbers for Croatia Portugal
The probable composition of Croatia:
Kotarski ; Gvardiol, Caleta-Car, Sutaio ; Jakic, Kovacic, Modric, Baturina, Sucic ; Perisic, Kramaric.
The probable composition of Portugal:
Coast; Mendes, Veiga, Silva, Dalot; FERNANDES, Neves, Silva; Leao, Neto, Ronaldo.
The best bets to take for Croatia Portugal
Croatia vs Portugal 1 prediction: Draw @3.25 on Unibet
Portugal travel to Split undefeated in Group 1, knowing they have already sealed first place and their progression to the knockout stages.
Croatia's situation is a little more delicate, especially after their 1-0 defeat against Scotland on matchday five. She has not yet secured her qualification, but one point will be enough for the hosts.
The good news for Croatia is that they have not lost at home and have only conceded one goal in front of their fans. Portugal might not be at full throttle, having already secured top spot, which offers Croatia a chance to secure the crucial point they need.
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Croatia vs Portugal 2 prediction: Rafael Leao scorer @4.60 on Unibet
One player who will pose a definite threat to Croatia is AC Milan's Rafael Leao. The 25-year-old scored twice for his club against Cagliari before joining the national team, where he opened the scoring for Portugal against Poland.
It was his first Nations League goal, but he has been in good form at domestic level, with five goals in Serie A and Coppa Italia in 12 appearances.
Cristiano Ronaldo remains an obvious option for goalscorer betting, but this opens up value opportunities elsewhere. The Croatian defense is no longer as solid as it once was, and Leao is well positioned to continue his momentum.
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Croatia vs Portugal 3 prediction: Both teams score @1.65 on Unibet
Although this match is more important for Croatia, our Croatia vs Portugal predictions predict that Portugal will continue to be threatening, as they have been throughout the group.
The visitors have scored 12 goals, including five in the last match and two against Croatia at home, and will want to finish their group on a high. Croatia is vulnerable, and Portugal has offensive assets capable of taking advantage of it.
However, the hosts need a positive result. They are unbeaten at home, having scored against Poland and Scotland, and they will need to perform in front of their supporters.
Both nations scored in the first leg, and with so much at stake for the hosts, they will need to score at least one goal to secure second place.
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